Result
1:1
09/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 34
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.13 | 0.89 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
79% (278/354) | 87% (421/483) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 6 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.13 | 0.89 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.57 | 0.48 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
79% (278/354) | 87% (421/483) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (18/55) | 50% (16/32) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (60/98) | 77% (98/128) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 0% (0/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.86 | 1.08 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (10/20) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.48 | 0.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.52 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Babec H. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
- 19', Mersinaj J. 🟨,
- 25', Smakaj A. 🟨,
- 41', Zivkovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sigali L. ↓, Pajac M. ↑,
- 46', Vranjkovic M. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,
- 53', Andric K. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 68', Bukvic D. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 68', Hernani ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 72', Dajcer L. 🟨,
- 73', Gorican S. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 86', Fetai F. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 87', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 87', Soldo M. 🟨,
- 89', Babec H. ↓, Jelenic L. ↑,
- 89', Soldo M. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Busnja D. (A),
- 90+2', Katic I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Subaric Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek 54.6% | Draw 25.1% | Lokomotiva Zagreb 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.96) |
3.76 ↑ (3.25) |
4.54 ↑ (4.04) |
6.8% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Osijek will win
(23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Osijek will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 3.
- Osijek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lokomotiva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Osijek is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Karacic F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:7. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Osijek?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
08.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
3:0
08.12.2024
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
22.09.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
0:1
04.05.2024
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:1
27.02.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
1:0
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL