Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 14
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 3.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (193/287) | 85% (441/517) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 3.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 3.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (193/287) | 85% (441/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 73% (97/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
- 28', Pajac M. 🟨,
- 28', Petrusenko O. 🟨,
- 35', Shopov S. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Pajac M. (Pen),
- 45+2', Omerovic N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mbacke D. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 46', Bukvic D. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
- 52', Krivak F. ↓, Virgili D. ↑,
- 66', Omerovic N. ↓, Pecek F. ↑,
- 74', Boskovic B. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 75', Antolic D. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Jelenic L. ⚽,
- 82', Renan Guedes ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
- 82', Colina D. ↓, Jovicic M. ↑,
- 86', Vukovic D. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 90+2', Babec H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
44.3% | Draw
27.9% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(2.05) |
3.4 ↑
(3.1) |
3.31 ↓
(3.65) |
7.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- Osijek is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lokomotiva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of away games.
- Osijek might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jugovic V.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Red Card)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:7. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Osijek?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
31.08.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
1:1
09.05.2025
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
08.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
3:0
08.12.2024
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
22.09.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
0:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 44:17 | 27 | 44 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 29 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Gorica | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Osijek | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21:37 | -16 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
