Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 5
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 80% (315/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (344/402) | 80% (315/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (24/41) | 41% (26/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (94/120) | 64% (61/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 68% (21/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽, Colina D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Boune M. 🟨,
- 59', Vukovic D. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 59', Vasilj J. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
- 63', Colina D. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 64', Mikolcic S. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 64', Katic I. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Mbacke D. ⚽, Stojakovic A. (A),
- 69', Katic I. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 75', Hasic E. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 86', Boune M. ↓, Leovac M. ↑,
- 87', Krivak F. ↓, Zaper M. ↑,
- 90+1', Jakupovic A. ↓, Shopov S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
29.7% | Draw
27.7% | Osijek
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiva Zagreb's form might have worsened.Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osijek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.15 ↑
(2.61) |
3.35 ↑
(3.34) |
2.2 ↓
(2.6) |
7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Osijek will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 1.
- Lokomotiva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Osijek's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of home games.
- Osijek could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Pajac M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Osijek: Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Gorican S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Osijek?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek were as follows:
09.05.2025
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
08.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
3:0
08.12.2024
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
22.09.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Osijek
0:1
04.05.2024
Osijek
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
