Result
0:0
02/11/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 12
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/457) | 80% (296/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (378/457) | 80% (296/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (29/48) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/120) | 63% (53/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Renan Guedes 🟨,
- 37', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 37', Mkrtchyan S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Petrusenko O. ↓, Shopov S. ↑,
- 61', Jakupovic A. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 71', Mamut I. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 78', Mamic L. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 86', Mikolcic S. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 86', Omerovic N. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 86', Belcar L. ↓, Antunovic M. ↑,
- 87', Latkovic A. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Osijek 46.8% | Draw 27.1% | Varaždin 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Osijek - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.96 ↑ (1.68) |
3.48 ↓ (3.75) |
3.68 ↓ (4.55) |
6.9% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
Osijek will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Osijek is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Red Card)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Mladenovski M.
(Inactive)
Puncec R.
(Inactive)
Tavares I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Varaždin?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Osijek?
Varaždin has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Varaždin were as follows:
17.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
17.05.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
15.12.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
29.09.2024
Osijek
-
Varaždin
2:1
25.05.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:2
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Din. Zagreb | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Gorica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 11 |
| 10 | Osijek | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL