Result
0:0
17/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (230/298) | 81% (367/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (230/298) | 81% (367/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/95) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
- 40', Belcar L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vrbancic L. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 46', Zivkovic F. ↓, Colina D. ↑,
- 46', Mladenovski M. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 54', Skaricic L. 🟨,
- 64', Belcar L. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 64', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 69', Shopov S. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 69', Bukvic D. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
- 71', Farkas N. 🟨,
- 73', Skaricic L. ↓, Maglica F. ↑,
- 75', Barac M. ↓, Lesjak S. ↑,
- 83', Omerovic N. 🟨,
- 85', Tepsic N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Toure Y. ↓, Baric I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
35.1% | Draw
33.6% | Osijek
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varaždin's form might have worsened.Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varaždin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-4%)
Varaždin - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.15) |
2.85 ↓
(3.19) |
3.17 ↓
(3.35) |
2.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 2 - 40%). Osijek (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Borsic A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N.
(Inactive)
Jakupovic A.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Osijek?
Varaždin has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Varaždin?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Osijek were as follows:
17.05.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
15.12.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
29.09.2024
Osijek
-
Varaždin
2:1
25.05.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:2
15.03.2024
Osijek
-
Varaždin
0:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
