Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/490) | 85% (424/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (410/490) | 85% (424/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 45% (18/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (67/103) | 67% (79/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Mitrovski D. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 1, Vuk M. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Latkovic A. ↓, Mamic L. ↑,
- 64', Antunovic M. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 69', Mladenovski M. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 74', Hernani ↓, Ohajunwa J. ↑,
- 76', Bukvic D. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 78', Mitrovski D. ↓, Jovanov V. ↑,
- 85', Omerovic N. 🟨,
- 85', Soldo M. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 90+5', Zelenika O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
39.7% | Draw
28.9% | Osijek
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Varaždin - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.18) |
3.25 ↑
(3.2) |
2.99 ↓
(3.37) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Osijek will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Varaždin could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Ba L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Ademi K.
(Inactive)
Jakupovic A.
(Inactive)
Pusic P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Osijek?
Varaždin has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Varaždin?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Osijek were as follows:
15.12.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
29.09.2024
Osijek
-
Varaždin
2:1
25.05.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:2
15.03.2024
Osijek
-
Varaždin
0:1
10.12.2023
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:2
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
