Osnabrück vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 15
  • Referee: Grund F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
118
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1913
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Kehl L. 🟨,
  • 44', Kopacz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Deichmann Y. , Hoppe M. ,
  • 62', Kopacz D. , Badjie I. ,
  • 64', Wiethaup K. , Wagner F. ,
  • 77', Rosenlocher L. , Sturm Y. ,
  • 77', Kaygin D. , Drakulic O. ,
  • 79', Wagner F. 🟨,
  • 80', Christensen G. 🟨,
  • 85', Kehl L. , Riesselmann B. ,
  • 85', Schumacher K. , Proger K. ,
  • 86', Muller J. , Janotta T. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Badjie I. , Meissner R. (A),
  • 90', Badjie I. 🟨,
  • 90', Costly M. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 90', Carlsen F. , Kugel J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Osnabrück
50.9%
Draw
24.6%
Ingolstadt
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 23.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Osnabrück - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.7)
    3.83
    (3.95)
    3.87
    (4.25)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Osnabrück - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Ingolstadt (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 50%). Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3.
    • Osnabrück is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ingolstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Osnabrück is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osnabrück - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Osnabrück - Ingolstadt 1:0
    24.11.2024 Ingolstadt - Osnabrück 4:2
    12.02.2023 Ingolstadt - Osnabrück 1:4
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    01.11.2025 Osnabrück - Duisburg 0:0
    25.10.2025 Schweinfurt - Osnabrück 1:2
    18.10.2025 Osnabrück - Hoffenheim II 0:4
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation