Osnabrück vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 15
  • Referee: Grund F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
germanyGermanyDFB Play, Magenta Sport
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
118
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1913
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1313

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Kehl L. 🟨,
  • 44', Kopacz D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Deichmann Y. , Hoppe M. ,
  • 62', Kopacz D. , Badjie I. ,
  • 64', Wiethaup K. , Wagner F. ,
  • 77', Rosenlocher L. , Sturm Y. ,
  • 77', Kaygin D. , Drakulic O. ,
  • 79', Wagner F. 🟨,
  • 80', Christensen G. 🟨,
  • 85', Kehl L. , Riesselmann B. ,
  • 85', Schumacher K. , Proger K. ,
  • 86', Muller J. , Janotta T. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Badjie I. , Meissner R. (A),
  • 90', Badjie I. 🟨,
  • 90', Costly M. , Sekulovic D. ,
  • 90', Carlsen F. , Kugel J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Osnabrück
50.9%
Draw
24.6%
Ingolstadt
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 23.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 23.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Osnabrück - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.7)
    3.83
    (3.95)
    3.87
    (4.25)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Osnabrück - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Ingolstadt (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Osnabrück will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Osnabrück (votes: 1 - 50%). Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3.
    • Osnabrück is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ingolstadt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Osnabrück is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Osnabrück won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Osnabrück won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osnabrück - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Osnabrück - Ingolstadt 1:0
    24.11.2024 Ingolstadt - Osnabrück 4:2
    12.02.2023 Ingolstadt - Osnabrück 1:4
    Latest results of Osnabrück
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    01.11.2025 Osnabrück - Duisburg 0:0
    25.10.2025 Schweinfurt - Osnabrück 1:2
    18.10.2025 Osnabrück - Hoffenheim II 0:4
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck30187550:262461
    2RW Essen301510561:491255
    3Verl30159670:412954
    4Duisburg30159654:411354
    5Cottbus30159655:441154
    6Hansa Rostock301411553:322153
    7Munich 186030147946:39749
    8Wehen301461042:33948
    9Mannheim301431349:54-545
    10Alemannia Aachen301351253:51244
    11Ingolstadt3010101050:41940
    12Regensburg301161342:45-339
    13Viktoria Koln301151441:41038
    14Stuttgart II301151436:49-1338
    15Hoffenheim II301051553:54-135
    16Saarbrucken307121140:46-633
    17Ulm30741939:62-2325
    18Aue30591634:54-2024
    19TSV Havelse30581743:69-2623
    20Schweinfurt30522329:69-4017

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation