Result
29:28
17/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 7)
- 10', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 11', Griffiths W. (Try),
- 12', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Visagie J. (Try),
- 32', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 21)
- 52', Ratti J. (Try),
- 53', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Visagie J. (Try),
- 62', Walsh J. (Try),
- 63', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', van Wyk H. (Try),
- 72', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Parry S. (Try),
- 79', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Dobela L. (Try),
Chances of winning
Lions
63.1% | Draw
4% | Ospreys
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lions's performance.Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ospreys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.The ML Model estimate for Ospreys aligns with the current prediction.
Lions - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.72) |
22.99 ↑
(21.25) |
2.77 ↑
(2.24) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Lions - Ospreys?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:27.
Preview Facts
- Lions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ospreys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ospreys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ospreys has had a series of home games.
- Lions might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 136:146. (average 27.2:29.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:53. (average 36.5:26.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Ospreys?
Lions has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lions?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Ospreys were as follows:
08.12.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
30:14
30.03.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
36:21
21.01.2024
Lions
-
Ospreys
28:38
24.09.2022
Ospreys
-
Lions
27:28
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Munster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 77:60 | 13 |
| 3 | Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 92:71 | 10 |
| 4 | Zebre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 53:48 | 9 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 53:43 | 7 |
| 6 | Glasgow Warriors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 49:35 | 6 |
| 7 | Ulster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42:21 | 5 |
| 8 | Connacht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26:15 | 5 |
| 9 | Benetton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31:40 | 4 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 47:51 | 3 |
| 11 | Sharks | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 36:52 | 2 |
| 12 | Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 38:59 | 2 |
| 13 | Lions | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40:55 | 1 |
| 14 | Ospreys | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50:79 | 1 |
| 15 | Leinster | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31:74 | 1 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:68 | 0 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
