Result
24:24
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (19 - 12)
- 2nd Half (5 - 12)
Chances of winning
Ospreys
60.8% | Draw
4.4% | Lions
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Ospreys - Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.54) |
21.11 ↓
(22.61) |
2.63 ↑
(2.62) |
8.8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Lions?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:18.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Lions has had a series of away games.
- Ospreys could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 174:165. (average 29:27.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 93:63. (average 31:21).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lions?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Ospreys?
Lions has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Lions were as follows:
17.05.2025
Lions
-
Ospreys
29:28
08.12.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
30:14
30.03.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
36:21
21.01.2024
Lions
-
Ospreys
28:38
24.09.2022
Ospreys
-
Lions
27:28
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 320:170 | 45 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Munster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 248:225 | 39 |
| 5 | Stormers | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 284:185 | 36 |
| 6 | Ulster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 312:229 | 36 |
| 7 | Lions | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 325:342 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 304:270 | 30 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 260:273 | 29 |
| 10 | Connacht | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 258:279 | 25 |
| 11 | Sharks | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 256:333 | 24 |
| 12 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 23 |
| 13 | Benetton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 216:281 | 23 |
| 14 | Dragons | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 227:286 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 197:365 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
