Result
29:28
17/05/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 7)
- 10', van der Merwe E. (Try),
- 11', Griffiths W. (Try),
- 12', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Visagie J. (Try),
- 32', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 21)
- 52', Ratti J. (Try),
- 53', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Visagie J. (Try),
- 62', Walsh J. (Try),
- 63', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', van Wyk H. (Try),
- 72', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Parry S. (Try),
- 79', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Dobela L. (Try),
Chances of winning
Lions
63.1% | Draw
4% | Ospreys
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lions's performance.Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ospreys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.The ML Model estimate for Ospreys aligns with the current prediction.
Lions - Ospreys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.72) |
23.66 ↑
(21.25) |
2.79 ↑
(2.24) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 59.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
What is the prediction for Lions - Ospreys?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 34:27.
Preview Facts
- Lions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ospreys has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ospreys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ospreys has had a series of home games.
- Lions might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 136:146. (average 27.2:29.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:53. (average 36.5:26.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Ospreys?
Lions has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lions?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Ospreys were as follows:
08.12.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
30:14
30.03.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
36:21
21.01.2024
Lions
-
Ospreys
28:38
24.09.2022
Ospreys
-
Lions
27:28
Latest results of Ospreys
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Leinster (1) | Scarlets (8) | 33 : 21 |
| 2 | Glasgow Warriors (4) | Stormers (5) | 36 : 18 |
| 3 | Bulls (2) | Edinburgh (7) | 42 : 33 |
| 4 | Sharks (3) | Munster (6) | 25 : 24 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Leinster (1) | Glasgow Warriors (4) | 37 : 19 |
| 2 | Bulls (2) | Sharks (3) | 25 : 13 |
Final| 1 | Leinster (1) | Bulls (2) | 32 : 7 |
