Result
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ospreys
57% | Draw
3.6% | Lions
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ospreys - Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.54) |
26.29 ↑
(22.61) |
2.34 ↓
(2.62) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 43.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Lions has had a series of away games.
- Ospreys might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 174:165. (average 29:27.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 93:63. (average 31:21).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lions?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Ospreys?
Lions has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Lions were as follows:
17.05.2025
Lions
-
Ospreys
29:28
08.12.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
30:14
30.03.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
36:21
21.01.2024
Lions
-
Ospreys
28:38
24.09.2022
Ospreys
-
Lions
27:28
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stormers | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 231:95 | 36 |
| 2 | Glasgow Warriors | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 253:112 | 34 |
| 3 | Ulster | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 259:167 | 31 |
| 4 | Cardiff Rugby | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 201:174 | 31 |
| 5 | Leinster | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 239:191 | 30 |
| 6 | Munster | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 183:167 | 30 |
| 7 | Lions | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 226:234 | 21 |
| 8 | Benetton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 173:229 | 19 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 196:226 | 18 |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 158:147 | 17 |
| 11 | Bulls | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 192:224 | 16 |
| 12 | Connacht | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 189:220 | 16 |
| 13 | Dragons | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 179:230 | 16 |
| 14 | Sharks | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 156:215 | 14 |
| 15 | Zebre | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 154:287 | 11 |
| 16 | Scarlets | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 126:197 | 9 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
