Result
24:24
23/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, URC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (19 - 12)
- 2nd Half (5 - 12)
Chances of winning
Ospreys 60.8% | Draw 4.4% | Lions 34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ospreys - Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.54) |
21.11 ↓ (22.61) |
2.63 ↑ (2.62) |
8.8% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Lions?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:18.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Lions has had a series of away games.
- Ospreys could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ospreys will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ospreys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 174:165. (average 29:27.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ospreys won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 93:63. (average 31:21).
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lions?
Ospreys has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Ospreys?
Lions has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Lions were as follows:
17.05.2025
Lions
-
Ospreys
29:28
08.12.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
30:14
30.03.2024
Ospreys
-
Lions
36:21
21.01.2024
Lions
-
Ospreys
28:38
24.09.2022
Ospreys
-
Lions
27:28
Latest results of Ospreys
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 310:155 | 44 |
| 2 | Leinster | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 301:234 | 40 |
| 3 | Stormers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 274:161 | 36 |
| 4 | Ulster | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 302:208 | 36 |
| 5 | Cardiff Rugby | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 232:203 | 36 |
| 6 | Munster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 227:218 | 35 |
| 7 | Bulls | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 263:258 | 25 |
| 8 | Ospreys | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 239:263 | 25 |
| 9 | Sharks | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 222:258 | 24 |
| 10 | Lions | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 267:310 | 24 |
| 11 | Benetton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 201:266 | 21 |
| 12 | Connacht | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 243:269 | 21 |
| 13 | Edinburgh | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 195:194 | 18 |
| 14 | Dragons | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 212:271 | 18 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 173:239 | 15 |
| 16 | Zebre | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 190:344 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)