Result
18:20
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Sports MAX 7 |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 13)
- 7', Rattez V. (Try),
- 8', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 20', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),
- 23', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Morgan J. (Try),
- 27', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (8 - 7)
- 51', Guillard M. (Try),
- 52', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Edwards D. (Penalty Goal),
- 71', McGuigan G. (Try),
Chances of winning
Ospreys
64.6% | Draw
4% | Lyon
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ospreys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Ospreys - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.38) |
23.67 ↑
(21.25) |
2.94 ↓
(3.26) |
8.3%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 48.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Ospreys - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:21.
Preview Facts
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Ospreys is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Ospreys to win the game is with odds 1.45.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78:20 (average 39:10).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 47:7
How many head-to-head matches has Ospreys won against Lyon?
Ospreys has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Ospreys?
Lyon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Lyon were as follows:
Latest results of Ospreys
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Lions | 24 : 12 |
| 2 | Aviron Bayonnais | Bulls | 22 : 32 |
| 3 | Section Paloise | Bath | 24 : 49 |
| 4 | Montpellier | Gloucester | 17 : 24 |
| 5 | Ospreys | Scarlets | 36 : 14 |
| 6 | Lyon | Sharks | 34 : 21 |
| 7 | Connacht | Cardiff Rugby | 35 : 20 |
| 8 | USA Perpignan | Racing 92 | 18 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bulls | 34 : 28 |
| 2 | Bath | Gloucester | 61 : 26 |
| 3 | Ospreys | Lyon | 18 : 20 |
| 4 | Connacht | Racing 92 | 40 : 43 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Edinburgh | Bath | 24 : 39 |
| 2 | Lyon | Racing 92 | 29 : 15 |
Final
