Frayles de Guasave vs Ostioneros de Guaymas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
83:78
11/04/2026 at 22:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
4239
Field goals made
2020
Field goals %
47.62%51.28%
2-point field goals attempts
2320
2-point field goals made
1210
2-point field goals %
52.17%50%
3-point field goals attempts
1919
3-point field goals made
810
3-point field goals %
42.11%52.63%
Free throws attempts
175
Free throws made
124
Free throws %
70.6%80%
Offensive rebounds
66
Defensive rebounds
1317
Total rebounds
1923
Assists
1114
Blocks
52
Turnovers
311
Steals
83
Personal fouls
710

Chances of winning


Frayles de Guasave
55.3%
Ostioneros de Guaymas
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Ostioneros de Guaymas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostioneros de Guaymas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostioneros de Guaymas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.65)

    2.07
    (2.03)
    8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 189.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostioneros (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 2.
    • Guasave has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ostioneros has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ostioneros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ostioneros has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1047:1064. (average 95.2:96.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 514:493. (average 102.8:98.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas were as follows:
    10.04.2026 Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas 120:98
    28.02.2026 Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave 83:78
    27.02.2026 Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave 90:92
    17.05.2025 Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave 108:103
    16.05.2025 Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave 93:79
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros262422519:21640.923
    2Halcones de Obregon3018122882:28420.600
    3Frayles de Guasave3219133099:29860.594
    4Angeles CDMX3218143001:29590.563
    5Zonkeys de Tijuana3216162809:27770.500
    6Toros Laguna3014162702:27000.467
    7Pioneros de Los Mochis2813152627:26900.464
    8Caballeros de Culiacan3213192959:30680.406
    9Rayos de Hermosillo3213192795:29090.406
    10Ostioneros de Guaymas3012182842:29140.400
    11Venados de Mazatlan286222418:26440.214

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