Calgary Flames vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
05/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 4
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2037
Shots off target
1119
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)10.81% (4/37)
Blocked shots
1416
Goalkeeper Saves
3319
Saves PCT
94.29% (33/35)95% (19/20)
Penalties
43
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (3/3)
Hits
1818
Faceoffs Won
2531
Faceoffs %
44.6455.36
Giveaways
1813
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:34, Giroux C. (2 min),
  • 17:04, 1 - 0, Pospisil M. (G), Gridin M. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 09:35, 1 - 1, Eller L. (G), Greig R. (A),
  • 10:51, Whitecloud Z. (2 min),
  • 16:31, Amadio M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 01:46, Coleman B. (2 min),
  • 05:52, Klapka A. (2 min),
  • 06:33, 1 - 2, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),
  • 07:58, Parekh Z. (2 min),
  • 16:23, Zub A. (2 min),
  • 17:59, 1 - 3, Stutzle T. (G),
  • 19:46, 1 - 4, Pinto S. (G), Amadio M. (A), Zub A. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Calgary Flames
28.6%
Draw
22.5%
Ottawa Senators
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 23.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 22.3% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.92)
    4.23
    (4.21)
    1.94
    (2.22)
    6%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Ottawa will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Ottawa (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ottawa Senators will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.
    • Ottawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Huberdeau J. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Perron D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ottawa: Matinpalo N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 61:64. (average 3.1:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 3.9:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames 4:3
    19.12.2024 Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators 2:3
    25.11.2024 Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames 4:3
    09.01.2024 Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators 6:3
    11.11.2023 Ottawa Senators - Calgary Flames 4:1
    Latest results of Calgary Flames
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    6Columbus Blue Jackets7127111122231:21787
    7Pittsburgh Penguins712961620243:22586
    8Ottawa Senators71326924239:21685
    9New York Islanders722614527209:20685
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    11Philadelphia Flyers7021131224204:21480
    12Washington Capitals72305928220:21179
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