Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 OT
03/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 5
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3721
Shots off target
2113
Shooting PCT
13.51% (5/37)19.05% (4/21)
Blocked shots
914
Goalkeeper Saves
1732
Saves PCT
80.95% (17/21)86.49% (32/37)
Penalties
44
PIM
1111
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (2/4)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (2/4)
Hits
2414
Faceoffs Won
2813
Faceoffs %
68.2931.71
Giveaways
2115
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 2)
  • 03:34, 0 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Cousins N. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
  • 05:03, 1 - 1, Draisaitl L. (G), Ekholm M. (A), Savoie M. (A2)
  • 05:39, Bouchard E. (2 min),
  • 06:34, 1 - 2, Batherson D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
  • 08:00, Greig R. (5 min),
  • 08:00, Podkolzin V. (2 min),
  • 08:00, Podkolzin V. (5 min),
  • 10:36, Nurse D. (2 min),
  • 16:48, 2 - 2, Draisaitl L. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 04:30, 2 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A),
  • 05:11, 2 - 4, Amadio M. (G), Jensen N. (A),
  • 12:17, Kleven T. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:38, Pinto S. (2 min),
  • 01:52, 3 - 4, Nugent-Hopkins R. (G), McDavid C. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
  • 18:35, 4 - 4, Hyman Z. (G), Draisaitl L. (A), Bouchard E. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 01:05, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 01:50, 5 - 4, Bouchard E. (G), McDavid C. (A), Draisaitl L. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Edmonton Oilers
40%
Draw
22.6%
Ottawa Senators
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 22.1% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 21% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Edmonton Oilers's form might have worsened.
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ottawa Senators's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.07)
    4.15
    (4.34)
    2.5
    (3.02)
    6.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    What is the prediction for Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Edmonton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ottawa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Edmonton: 41.6%98.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 3rd Period - Edmonton (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Edmonton Oilers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Edmonton (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Ottawa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 4.
    • Edmonton has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Edmonton: Janmark M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Matinpalo N. (Injury) Perron D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Edmonton won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 81:53. (average 4.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Edmonton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 49:32. (average 4.5:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 2:3
    22.12.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators 3:1
    19.11.2024 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 2:5
    24.03.2024 Ottawa Senators - Edmonton Oilers 5:3
    06.01.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Ottawa Senators 3:1
    Latest results of Edmonton Oilers
    NHL Table
    Main

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    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7835111220262:214104
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7830151221261:225102
    4Utah Mammoth773110630254:22388
    5Edmonton Oilers783091029270:26388
    6Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    7Anaheim Ducks782417532257:27687
    8Nashville Predators7827101031238:25684
    9Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    10San Jose Sharks762512732234:26981
    11Winnipeg Jets772771231221:23480
    12St. Louis Blues772941232206:24178
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames77257936202:24773
    15Chicago Blackhawks782171436202:25670
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 783614622281:233106
    2Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 78399624281:221102
    3Buffalo Sabres ✔ 78398823270:233102
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7832141022273:245102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins783371622280:25096
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators783561027264:24092
    8Philadelphia Flyers7825151226233:23292
    9Columbus Blue Jackets7827121227245:24190
    10New York Islanders782814531226:22989
    11Detroit Red Wings782911929228:23889
    12Washington Capitals78336930248:24087
    13New Jersey Devils782812335219:23983
    14Toronto Maple Leafs772391431242:27578
    15Florida Panthers78298437233:26678
    16New York Rangers78249936229:23875

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )