Washington Capitals vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
18/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2535
Shots off target
1922
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)2.86% (1/35)
Blocked shots
1221
Goalkeeper Saves
3421
Saves PCT
97.14% (34/35)91.3% (21/23)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Hits
2515
Faceoffs Won
1837
Faceoffs %
32.7367.27
Giveaways
1313
Takeaways
41
Empty Net Goals
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:51, Wilson T. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:30, Cousins N. (2 min),
  • 08:09, 1 - 0, Ovechkin A. (G), Sandin R. (A),
  • 18:13, 2 - 0, Wilson T. (G), Van Riemsdyk T. (A), Dubois P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 05:35, Wilson T. (2 min),
  • 14:13, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
  • 17:19, 2 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Giroux C. (A), Chabot T. (A2)
  • 18:28, 3 - 1, Protas A. (G), McMichael C. (A),
  • 18:48, Kleven T. (2 min),
  • 19:34, 4 - 1, Hutson C. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
34.7%
Draw
22.9%
Ottawa Senators
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 23.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 25.1% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Capitals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.49)
    4.14
    (4.07)
    2.25
    (2.44)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: Ottawa Senators will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ottawa Senators will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • In recent matches, Washington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ottawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 70:64. (average 3.5:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 3.7:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 4:3
    25.10.2025 Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators 1:7
    03.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Ottawa Senators 5:4
    30.01.2025 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 5:4
    16.01.2025 Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals 0:1
    Latest results of Washington Capitals
    Latest results of Ottawa Senators
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2