Result
2:3
11/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 7 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.88% (2/34) | 13.04% (3/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.96% (20/23) | 94.12% (32/34) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 35 | 32 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50.94 | 49.06 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 9 | 23 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 00:30, Cozens D. (2 min),
- 01:16, 0 - 1, Slafkovsky J. (G), Demidov I. (A), Suzuki N. (A2)
- 06:19, Hutson L. (2 min),
- 16:09, Anderson J. (2 min),
- 16:42, 1 - 1, Batherson D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
- 18:41, 2 - 1, Stutzle T. (G), Batherson D. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 05:02, Hutson L. (2 min),
- 06:40, Pinto S. (2 min),
- 17:29, 2 - 2, Texier A. (G), Hutson L. (A), Evans J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:59, Batherson D. (2 min),
- 04:59, Demidov I. (2 min),
- 12:40, 2 - 3, Demidov I. (G), Newhook A. (A), Guhle K. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ottawa Senators
51.5% | Draw
21.2% | Montreal Canadiens
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ottawa Senators's performance.Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montreal Canadiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ottawa Senators that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montreal Canadiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.27) |
4.49 ↑
(4.31) |
3.47 ↑
(2.7) |
4.7%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Montreal (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 50%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
- Ottawa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Montreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Montreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ottawa has had a series of away games.
- Ottawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ottawa: Sanderson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 75:65. (average 3.8:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:34. (average 3.9:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ottawa Senators won against Montreal Canadiens?
Ottawa Senators has won 16 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Ottawa Senators?
Montreal Canadiens has won 8 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
17.01.2026
Ottawa Senators
-
Montreal Canadiens
5:6
02.12.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Ottawa Senators
2:5
01.11.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Ottawa Senators
4:3
04.10.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Ottawa Senators
1:3
30.09.2025
Ottawa Senators
-
Montreal Canadiens
0:5
Latest results of Ottawa Senators
Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
