Result
1:3
07/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/460) | 71% (191/269) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/460) | 71% (191/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 58% (52/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Nyakossi R. ⚽, Maziz Y. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Schrijvers S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', Nyakossi R. 🟨,
- 38', Ito A. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
- 38', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 45+2', Goore H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Goore H. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
- 57', Gil O. 🟨,
- 67', Kanga W. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 68', Schrijvers S. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
- 69', Leysen T. ↓, Prevot M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Maziz Y. ⚽, Verlinden T. (A),
- 70', Maziz Y. 🟨,
- 77', Verlinden T. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 77', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 77', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Hashioka D. ↑,
- 77', Volckaert M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 78', Vaesen K. 🟨,
- 88', Maziz Y. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 89', Lakomy L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gent
47.8% | Draw
27.2% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+1.7%)The ML Model estimate for Oud-Heverlee Leuven aligns with the current prediction.
Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.9) |
3.47 ↓
(3.72) |
3.79
(3.79) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Gent (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Leuven (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Gent will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gent will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 1.
- Gent is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leuven has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Leuven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Gent has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Gent is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Diop M.
(Inactive)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:15. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 2.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Gent has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Gent?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
02.11.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Gent
4:0
26.01.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Gent
0:0
29.09.2024
Gent
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:0
12.05.2024
Gent
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:1
14.04.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Gent
2:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
