Result
2:2
04/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Covadonga
20.5% | Draw
30.6% | Ourense CF
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Covadonga - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(2.7) |
3.01 ↑
(2.88) |
1.89 ↓
(2.45) |
8.4%
(12.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Covadonga - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Covadonga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ourense CF: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Covadonga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Ourense CF?
Covadonga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Covadonga?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Ourense CF were as follows:
23.09.2023
Ourense CF
-
Covadonga
3:1
Latest results of Covadonga
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Salamanca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | UD Ourense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Numancia | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 32 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Langreo | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:31 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 43:49 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28:44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20:60 | -40 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
