Result
2:2
04/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Covadonga
20.5% | Draw
30.6% | Ourense CF
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Covadonga - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(2.7) |
3.01 ↑
(2.88) |
1.89 ↓
(2.45) |
8.4%
(12.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Covadonga - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Covadonga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ourense CF: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Covadonga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Ourense CF?
Covadonga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Covadonga?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Ourense CF were as follows:
23.09.2023
Ourense CF
-
Covadonga
3:1
Latest results of Covadonga
Latest results of Ourense CF
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | SD Logrones | CD Estepona | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cacereno | Real Avila | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Baleares | Teruel | 2 : 5, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Numancia | Getafe B | 0 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Union Malacitano | Torrent | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | CF Talavera | Utebo FC | 5 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Eibar B | Sabadell | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | UCAM Murcia | Dep. Fabril | 3 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Sant Andreu | Rayo Majadahonda | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | Antoniano | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | CD Estepona | Cacereno | 2 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Teruel | Numancia | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Torrent | CF Talavera | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Sabadell | UCAM Murcia | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Rayo Majadahonda | Real Aviles | 0 : 4, 0 : 2 |
