Result
2:2
04/02/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21
Chances of winning
Covadonga
20.5% | Draw
30.6% | Ourense CF
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ourense CF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ourense CF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Covadonga - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(2.7) |
3.01 ↑
(2.88) |
1.89 ↓
(2.45) |
8.4%
(12.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Covadonga - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Covadonga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ourense CF: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Covadonga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ourense CF is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Ourense CF will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Ourense CF?
Covadonga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Covadonga?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covadonga - Ourense CF were as follows:
23.09.2023
Ourense CF
-
Covadonga
3:1
Latest results of Covadonga
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril ✔ | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:20 | 41 | 72 |
| 2 | Oviedo B ✔ | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | UD Ourense ✔ | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Numancia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:33 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | -4 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 13 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | -2 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino de Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 5 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 1 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | -6 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 0 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B ✔ | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | -17 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad ✔ | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano ✔ | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | -64 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Dep. Fabril is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Oviedo B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
UD Ourense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Burgos CF B is Relegated to
Lealtad is Relegated to
UD Samano is Relegated to
