Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
- 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
- 37', Punzano I. ↓, Prado M. ↑,
- 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ouacharaf B. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
- 55', Gomez V. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 55', Moreno M. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
- 60', Ramos J. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 60', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 60', Bouzaig A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 73', Guerrero A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ⚽,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
33.3% | Draw
34.4% | Talavera de la Reina
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.21) |
2.8 ↓
(3.07) |
3 ↓
(3.14) |
1.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
- Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Talavera de la Reina?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Ourense CF?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina were as follows:
Latest results of Ourense CF
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
