Ourense CF vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
  • 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
  • 37', Punzano I. , Prado M. ,
  • 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ouacharaf B. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 55', Gomez V. , Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 55', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 60', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 60', Ouhdadi O. , Camus M. ,
  • 60', Bouzaig A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
33.3%
Draw
34.4%
Talavera de la Reina
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 28.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.21)
    2.8
    (3.07)
    3
    (3.14)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    09.08.2025 Coruxo - Ourense CF 1:4
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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