Ourense CF vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
  • 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
  • 37', Punzano I. , Prado M. ,
  • 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ouacharaf B. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 55', Gomez V. , Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 55', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 60', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 60', Ouhdadi O. , Camus M. ,
  • 60', Bouzaig A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
33.3%
Draw
34.4%
Talavera de la Reina
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 28.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.21)
    2.8
    (3.07)
    3
    (3.14)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    09.08.2025 Coruxo - Ourense CF 1:4
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife33007:079
    2Guadalajara43016:339
    3Racing Club Ferrol33005:239
    4Arenteiro42114:227
    5Zamora41302:116
    6Ath Bilbao B31202:115
    7Celta Vigo B31114:314
    8Arenas Getxo31115:504
    9CF Talavera31114:404
    10Barakaldo31113:304
    11Pontevedra31112:3-14
    12Osasuna B31112:3-14
    13Real Aviles31112:3-14
    14Ponferradina41035:6-13
    15Real Madrid B31022:3-13
    16Merida AD31023:7-43
    17Ourense CF30212:3-12
    18Cacereno30213:5-22
    19Lugo30121:3-21
    20Unionistas30030:4-40

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