Ourense CF vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
  • 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
  • 37', Punzano I. , Prado M. ,
  • 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ouacharaf B. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 55', Gomez V. , Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 55', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 60', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 60', Ouhdadi O. , Camus M. ,
  • 60', Bouzaig A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
33.3%
Draw
34.4%
Talavera de la Reina
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 28.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.21)
    2.8
    (3.07)
    3
    (3.14)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    09.08.2025 Coruxo - Ourense CF 1:4
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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