Ourense CF vs Talavera de la Reina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina
Result
1:2
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Munoz D. (Own goal),
  • 14', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 22', Moreno M. 🟨,
  • 29', Yuste A. 🟥,
  • 37', Punzano I. , Prado M. ,
  • 45+9', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 45+13', 1 - 1, Bouzaig A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ouacharaf B. , Rodriguez F. ,
  • 55', Gomez V. , Gallardo Rodriguez E. ,
  • 55', Moreno M. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 60', Ramos J. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 60', Ouhdadi O. , Camus M. ,
  • 60', Bouzaig A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Aranzabe A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Sanchez L. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
33.3%
Draw
34.4%
Talavera de la Reina
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 29.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 28.2% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.
  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.21)
    2.8
    (3.07)
    3
    (3.14)
    1.6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Ourense CF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Talavera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Talavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    09.08.2025 Coruxo - Ourense CF 1:4
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

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