Burnley vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Burnley - Oxford United
Result
1:0
04/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.26
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
157
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
11
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2012
Touches in the Opposition Box
3310
Passes
87% (509/588)80% (297/373)
Passes in the final third
72% (100/139)56% (40/72)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (2/7)
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (15/21)
Clearances Total
1528
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Helik M. (Own goal),
  • 43', Vaulks W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vaulks W. , Dembele S. ,
  • 59', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 61', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 64', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 70', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 71', Mejbri H. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 76', Placheta P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 76', Goodrham T. , El Mizouni I. ,
  • 82', Flemming Z. , Barnes A. ,
  • 87', Long S. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 90', Foster L. , Shelvey J. ,

Chances of winning


Burnley
61.7%
Draw
25%
Oxford United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 20.2% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 19.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Burnley - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    3.82
    (4.69)
    7.06
    (8.51)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 50.6%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Burnley is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Oxford United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Oxford United - Burnley 0:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    01.02.2025 Portsmouth - Burnley 0:0
    27.01.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    22.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Burnley 0:5
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    11.01.2025 Reading - Burnley 1:3
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One