Burnley vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.26
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
157
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
11
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2012
Touches in the Opposition Box
3310
Passes
87% (509/588)80% (297/373)
Passes in the final third
72% (100/139)56% (40/72)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (2/7)
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (15/21)
Clearances Total
1528
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Helik M. (Own goal),
  • 43', Vaulks W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vaulks W. , Dembele S. ,
  • 59', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 61', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 64', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 70', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 71', Mejbri H. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 76', Placheta P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 76', Goodrham T. , El Mizouni I. ,
  • 82', Flemming Z. , Barnes A. ,
  • 87', Long S. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 90', Foster L. , Shelvey J. ,

Chances of winning


Burnley
61.7%
Draw
25%
Oxford United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 20.2% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 19.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Burnley - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    3.82
    (4.69)
    7.06
    (8.51)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 50.6%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Burnley is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Oxford United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Oxford United - Burnley 0:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    01.02.2025 Portsmouth - Burnley 0:0
    27.01.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    22.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Burnley 0:5
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    11.01.2025 Reading - Burnley 1:3
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One