Burnley vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Burnley - Oxford United
Result
1:0
04/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.26
Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
157
Shots on Goal
70
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
123
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
06
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
11
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2012
Touches in the Opposition Box
3310
Passes
87% (509/588)80% (297/373)
Passes in the final third
72% (100/139)56% (40/72)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (2/7)
Tackles
61% (11/18)71% (15/21)
Clearances Total
1528
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Helik M. (Own goal),
  • 43', Vaulks W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Vaulks W. , Dembele S. ,
  • 59', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 61', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 64', Mejbri H. 🟨,
  • 70', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 71', Mejbri H. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 76', Placheta P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 76', Goodrham T. , El Mizouni I. ,
  • 82', Flemming Z. , Barnes A. ,
  • 87', Long S. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 90', Foster L. , Shelvey J. ,

Chances of winning


Burnley
61.7%
Draw
25%
Oxford United
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.7% 20.2% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9% 19.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Burnley - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.38)
    3.82
    (4.69)
    7.06
    (8.51)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Burnley - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 50.6%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Burnley is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Moore E. (Groin Injury) Nelson B. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Redmond N. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Dale O. (Muscle Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Burnley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Oxford United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Oxford United - Burnley 0:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    01.02.2025 Portsmouth - Burnley 0:0
    27.01.2025 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    22.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Burnley 0:5
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    11.01.2025 Reading - Burnley 1:3
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One