Cardiff City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.27
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Long passes
42% (22/53)20% (14/71)
Passes in final third
68% (75/111)38% (27/72)
Crosses
23% (7/30)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.26
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (8/12)57% (12/21)
Duels won
7356
Clearances Total
2931
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.270.61
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Placheta P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kioso P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 46', Placheta P. , Leigh G. ,
  • 51', Helik M. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Salech Y. , Willock C. (A),
  • 59', Matos A. 🟨,
  • 69', Matos A. , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 69', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 70', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 75', Robertson A. , Colwill R. ,
  • 75', Willock C. , Alves W. ,
  • 78', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. , Goodrham T. (A),
  • 80', Mannsverk S. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 80', Salech Y. , Tanner O. ,
  • 82', Bennett J. , Moore E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
51.3%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 29.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 31% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Cardiff City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.96)
    3.37
    (3.24)
    4.61
    (4.21)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cardiff (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).
    • Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cardiff is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Injury) Ng P. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Moore E. (Hamstring Injury) ter Avest H. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Oxford United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Oxford United - Cardiff City 3:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One