Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).

Championship - Round 42
Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	1.07
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
73% (258/353)	75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.77
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
73% (258/353)	75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)	37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)	58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.63	0.53
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
85% (11/13)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
48	49
Clearances Total
21	33
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.77	0.09
Goals prevented
0.77	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
57', Robinson C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
60', Phillips A. 🟨,
66', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
66', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
70', Robertson A. 🟨,
71', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
77', Chambers C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
77', Alves W. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
83', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
83', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cardiff City
41.3%

Draw
28.7%

Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	3.19 ↑ (2.92)	5.4% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stoke City?

Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Cardiff City?

Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:

08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4

14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2

24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1

04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0

22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1

Latest results of Cardiff City

08.04.2025 Preston North End - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One