Cardiff City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.27
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Long passes
42% (22/53)20% (14/71)
Passes in final third
68% (75/111)38% (27/72)
Crosses
23% (7/30)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.26
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (8/12)57% (12/21)
Duels won
7356
Clearances Total
2931
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.270.61
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Placheta P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kioso P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 46', Placheta P. , Leigh G. ,
  • 51', Helik M. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Salech Y. , Willock C. (A),
  • 59', Matos A. 🟨,
  • 69', Matos A. , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 69', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 70', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 75', Robertson A. , Colwill R. ,
  • 75', Willock C. , Alves W. ,
  • 78', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. , Goodrham T. (A),
  • 80', Mannsverk S. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 80', Salech Y. , Tanner O. ,
  • 82', Bennett J. , Moore E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
51.3%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 29.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 31% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Cardiff City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.96)
    3.37
    (3.24)
    4.61
    (4.21)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 32.4%71.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cardiff (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).
    • Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cardiff is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Injury) Ng P. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Moore E. (Hamstring Injury) ter Avest H. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Oxford United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Oxford United - Cardiff City 3:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One