Cardiff City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.800.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.610.27
Total shots
122
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
71
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
82% (378/461)66% (201/305)
Long passes
42% (22/53)20% (14/71)
Passes in final third
68% (75/111)38% (27/72)
Crosses
23% (7/30)0% (0/1)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.26
Fouls
1417
Tackles
67% (8/12)57% (12/21)
Duels won
7356
Clearances Total
2931
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.270.61
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Placheta P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kioso P. , Phillips M. ,
  • 46', Placheta P. , Leigh G. ,
  • 51', Helik M. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Salech Y. , Willock C. (A),
  • 59', Matos A. 🟨,
  • 69', Matos A. , Rodrigues R. ,
  • 69', Bradshaw T. , Harris M. ,
  • 70', Ashford C. , Meite Y. ,
  • 75', Robertson A. , Colwill R. ,
  • 75', Willock C. , Alves W. ,
  • 78', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Brannagan C. , Goodrham T. (A),
  • 80', Mannsverk S. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 80', Salech Y. , Tanner O. ,
  • 82', Bennett J. , Moore E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
51.3%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 29.2% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 31% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Cardiff City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.96)
    3.37
    (3.24)
    4.61
    (4.21)
    4.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 32.4%71.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cardiff (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 19).
    • Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Oxford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Cardiff is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Davies I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Injury) Ng P. (Inactive) Robertson A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Moore E. (Hamstring Injury) ter Avest H. (Inactive)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Oxford United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Oxford United - Cardiff City 3:2
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One