Leicester City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.591.94
Ball possession
77%23%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
42
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
124
Passes
84% (488/581)48% (84/175)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
0.591.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.71
Total shots
138
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
65
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
124
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1113
Passes
84% (488/581)48% (84/175)
Long passes
35% (19/54)24% (14/59)
Passes in final third
72% (117/163)36% (25/70)
Crosses
13% (4/30)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.66
Throw ins
3018
Fouls
1311
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (16/25)
Duels won
4462
Clearances
3042
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
1.710.81
Goals prevented
-0.29-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Long S. , Brown C. (A),
  • 44', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Nelson B. , Thomas L. ,
  • 59', Currie J. 🟨,
  • 67', Currie J. , Leigh G. ,
  • 67', Mills S. , De Keersmaecker B. ,
  • 68', Choudhury H. , Daka P. ,
  • 68', Ayew J. , Monga J. ,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Harris M. , De Keersmaecker B. (A),
  • 75', Peart-Harris M. , Phillips M. ,
  • 83', De Cordova-Reid B. , Thomas S. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Fatawu I. , Thomas L. (A),
  • 86', Phillips M. 🟨,
  • 87', Brannagan C. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 88', Harris M. , Lankshear W. ,
  • 90', Page L. , Soumare B. ,

Chances of winning


Leicester City
51.8%
Draw
27.5%
Oxford United
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 24.4% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.5% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Leicester City - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.7)
    3.47
    (3.88)
    4.61
    (4.71)
    4.8%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leicester City - Oxford United?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oxford (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Oxford (2.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Leicester (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Oxford (4.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Oxford (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Leicester City will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.37%95.35%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Leicester (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Oxford (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Leicester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Leicester has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Leicester is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leicester: Kristiansen V. (Knock) Ramsey A. (Injury) Souttar H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Donley J. (Injury) Goodrham T. (Injury) Placheta P. (Calf Injury) Prelec N. (Groin Injury) ter Avest H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leicester: James J. (Injury) Skipp O. (Injury) Winks H. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leicester City - Oxford United were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Oxford United - Leicester City 2:2
    Latest results of Leicester City
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One