Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

FA Cup - 1/32-finals
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.24	1.40
Ball possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
7	6
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
10	5
Passes
71% (290/411)	84% (535/635)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.24	1.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.64	1.96
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
4	6
Blocked shots
2	6
Shots inside the box
10	9
Shots outside the box
2	9
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
25	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
16	14
Passes
71% (290/411)	84% (535/635)
Long passes
22% (17/77)	44% (28/64)
Passes in final third
54% (72/133)	73% (140/191)
Crosses
21% (5/24)	10% (4/40)
Expected assists (xA)
1.58	1.01
Throw ins
28	34
Fouls
14	16
Tackles
75% (15/20)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
68	59
Clearances
62	30
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	7
xGOT faced
1.96	2.64
Goals prevented
0.96	1.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Donley J. ↓, Peart-Harris M. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Lankshear W. ⚽,
60', Nemane A. ↓, Tripp C. ↑,
65', Brannagan C. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
66', Vaulks W. ↓, De Keersmaecker B. ↑,
66', Dembele S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
72', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
72', Wiles B. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
72', Hogan S. ↓, Paterson C. ↑,
79', Crowley D. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Paterson C. 🟨,
98', Jones G. ↓, Burke J. ↑,
98', Mills S. ↓, Phillips M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Sanders J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, ter Haar Romeny O. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Leko J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Harris M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Matete J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Peart-Harris M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Phillips M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons
32.2%

Draw
27.5%

Oxford United
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.33 ↓ (2.41)	7.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 17.8% – 64.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Oxford (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 25%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
MK Dons has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oxford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Oxford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Oxford United?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Oxford United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United were as follows:

19.09.2023 Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1

11.02.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Oxford United 1:1

17.09.2022 Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

04.01.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Harrogate Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Oxford United

01.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Oxford United 2:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Oxford United - Swansea City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Oxford United - Preston North End 1:2 ✺

Draw

Main

1/128-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
4	Bye	Coventry
5	Fulham	Bye
8	Bye	Middlesbrough
9	Stevenage	Chesterfield	0 : 1
10	Crewe	Doncaster	1 : 2
12	Bye	Southampton
13	Cheltenham	Bradford City	1 : 0
14	Buxton	Chatham	2 : 1
16	Bye	Leicester
17	Burnley	Bye
20	Bye	Millwall
21	Sheffield Utd	Bye
23	Gainsborough	Accrington	1 : 2
24	Mansfield	Harrogate	3 : 2
25	Portsmouth	Bye
28	Bye	Arsenal
29	Preston	Bye
31	Wigan	Hemel Hempstead	2 : 1
32	Spennymoor	Barrow	0 : 2
33	Wrexham	Bye
36	Bye	Nottingham
37	Ipswich	Bye
39	Blackpool	Scunthorpe	1 : 0
40	Reading	Carlisle	2 : 3
41	Hull	Bye
44	Bye	Blackburn
45	Charlton	Bye
48	Bye	Chelsea
49	Port Vale	Maldon & Tiptree	5 : 1
50	Bromley	Bristol Rovers	1 : 2
51	Fleetwood	Barnet	2 : 1
52	Luton	Forest Green	4 : 3
53	Bristol City	Bye
56	Bye	Watford
57	Colchester	MK Dons	2 : 3
58	Oldham	Northampton	3 : 1
60	Bye	Oxford Utd
61	Everton	Bye
64	Bye	Sunderland
65	Tottenham	Bye
68	Bye	Aston Villa
69	Newcastle	Bye
72	Bye	Bournemouth
73	Manchester City	Bye
75	FC Halifax	Exeter	0 : 2
76	Wycombe	Plymouth	2 : 0
77	Salford	Lincoln	2 : 1
78	Tamworth	Leyton Orient	0 : 1
79	Rotherham	Swindon	1 : 2
80	Bolton	Huddersfield	2 : 1
81	Grimsby	Ebbsfleet	3 : 1
82	Wealdstone	Southend	1 : 0
83	Chelmsford	Braintree	4 : 1
84	Weston-super-Mare	Aldershot	2 : 1
85	Wolves	Bye
87	Sutton	AFC Telford	2 : 1
88	South Shields	Shrewsbury	1 : 3
89	Liverpool	Bye
91	Peterborough	Cardiff	1 : 0
92	Barnsley	York City	3 : 2
93	Manchester Utd	Bye
96	Bye	Brighton
97	Boreham Wood	Crawley	3 : 0
98	Newport	Gillingham	3 : 2
99	Brackley Town	Notts Co	3 : 2
100	Burton	St. Albans	6 : 0
101	West Ham	Bye
104	Bye	QPR
105	Slough	Altrincham	2 : 1
106	Macclesfield	AFC Totton	6 : 3
108	Bye	Crystal Palace
109	Sheffield Wed	Bye
112	Bye	Brentford
113	Tranmere	Stockport County	1 : 3
114	Cambridge Utd	Chester	3 : 0
116	Bye	Birmingham
117	Derby	Bye
120	Bye	Leeds
121	Norwich	Bye
123	AFC Wimbledon	Gateshead	0 : 2
124	Eastleigh	Walsall	0 : 3
125	Swansea	Bye
128	Bye	West Brom

1/64-finals

1	Stoke	Bye
2	Bye	Coventry
3	Fulham	Bye
4	Bye	Middlesbrough
5	Chesterfield	Doncaster	1 : 2
6	Bye	Southampton
7	Cheltenham	Buxton	6 : 2
8	Bye	Leicester
9	Burnley	Bye
10	Bye	Millwall
11	Sheffield Utd	Bye
12	Accrington	Mansfield	2 : 3
13	Portsmouth	Bye
14	Bye	Arsenal
15	Preston	Bye
16	Wigan	Barrow	3 : 2
17	Wrexham	Bye
18	Bye	Nottingham
19	Ipswich	Bye
20	Blackpool	Carlisle	4 : 1
21	Hull	Bye
22	Bye	Blackburn
23	Charlton	Bye
24	Bye	Chelsea
25	Port Vale	Bristol Rovers	1 : 0
26	Fleetwood	Luton	3 : 2
27	Bristol City	Bye
28	Bye	Watford
29	MK Dons	Oldham	3 : 1
30	Bye	Oxford Utd
31	Everton	Bye
32	Bye	Sunderland
33	Tottenham	Bye
34	Bye	Aston Villa
35	Newcastle	Bye
36	Bye	Bournemouth
37	Manchester City	Bye
38	Exeter	Wycombe	4 : 0
39	Salford	Leyton Orient	4 : 0
40	Swindon	Bolton	4 : 0
41	Grimsby	Wealdstone	4 : 0
42	Chelmsford	Weston-super-Mare	0 : 2
43	Wolves	Bye
44	Sutton	Shrewsbury	1 : 2
45	Liverpool	Bye
46	Peterborough	Barnsley	0 : 1
47	Manchester Utd	Bye
48	Bye	Brighton
49	Boreham Wood	Newport	3 : 0
50	Brackley Town	Burton	1 : 3
51	West Ham	Bye
52	Bye	QPR
53	Slough	Macclesfield	1 : 3
54	Bye	Crystal Palace
55	Sheffield Wed	Bye
56	Bye	Brentford
57	Stockport County	Cambridge Utd	0 : 1
58	Bye	Birmingham
59	Derby	Bye
60	Bye	Leeds
61	Norwich	Bye
62	Gateshead	Walsall	0 : 2
63	Swansea	Bye
64	Bye	West Brom

1/32-finals

1	Stoke	Coventry	1 : 0
2	Fulham	Middlesbrough	3 : 1
3	Doncaster	Southampton	2 : 3
4	Cheltenham	Leicester	0 : 2
5	Burnley	Millwall	5 : 1
6	Sheffield Utd	Mansfield	3 : 4
7	Portsmouth	Arsenal	1 : 4
8	Preston	Wigan	0 : 1
9	Wrexham	Nottingham	4 : 3
10	Ipswich	Blackpool	2 : 1
11	Hull	Blackburn	1 : 0
12	Charlton	Chelsea	1 : 5
13	Port Vale	Fleetwood	1 : 0
14	Bristol City	Watford	5 : 1
15	MK Dons	Oxford Utd	1 : 2
16	Everton	Sunderland	1 : 2
17	Tottenham	Aston Villa	1 : 2
18	Newcastle	Bournemouth	4 : 3
19	Manchester City	Exeter	10 : 1
20	Salford	Swindon	3 : 2
21	Grimsby	Weston-super-Mare	3 : 2
22	Wolves	Shrewsbury	6 : 1
23	Liverpool	Barnsley	4 : 1
24	Manchester Utd	Brighton	1 : 2
25	Boreham Wood	Burton	0 : 5
26	West Ham	QPR	2 : 1
27	Macclesfield	Crystal Palace	2 : 1
28	Sheffield Wed	Brentford	0 : 2
29	Cambridge Utd	Birmingham	2 : 3
30	Derby	Leeds	1 : 3
31	Norwich	Walsall	5 : 1
32	Swansea	West Brom	2 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Stoke	Fulham	1 : 2
2	Southampton	Leicester	2 : 1
3	Burnley	Mansfield	1 : 2
4	Arsenal	Wigan	4 : 0
5	Wrexham	Ipswich	1 : 0
6	Hull	Chelsea	0 : 4
7	Port Vale	Bristol City	1 : 0
8	Oxford Utd	Sunderland	0 : 1
9	Aston Villa	Newcastle	1 : 3
10	Manchester City	Salford	2 : 0
11	Grimsby	Wolves	0 : 1
12	Liverpool	Brighton	3 : 0
13	Burton	West Ham	0 : 1
14	Macclesfield	Brentford	0 : 1
15	Birmingham	Leeds	1 : 2
16	Norwich	West Brom	3 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Fulham	Southampton	0 : 1
2	Mansfield	Arsenal	1 : 2
3	Wrexham	Chelsea	2 : 4
4	Port Vale	Sunderland	1 : 0
5	Newcastle	Manchester City	1 : 3
6	Wolves	Liverpool	1 : 3
7	West Ham	Brentford	3 : 2
8	Leeds	Norwich	3 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Southampton	Arsenal
2	Chelsea	Port Vale
3	Manchester City	Liverpool
4	West Ham	Leeds