Morecambe vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Morecambe - Oxford United
Result
1:1
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Chances of winning


Morecambe
25.6%
Draw
27.1%
Oxford United
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 28.2% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 27.4% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Morecambe - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (2.57)
    3.46
    (3.25)
    2
    (2.53)
    6.2%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Morecambe - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Morecambe: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
    • Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (34.9%), project points - 40, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (85%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Oxford has the most likely position - 18 (18.65%), project points - 49, currently - 36, a small chance of relegated (12%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has small quality 14, importance 42, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
    • Morecambe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Oxford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
    Latest results of Morecambe
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huddersfield11003:033
    2Wigan11003:123
    3Barnsley11003:123
    4Lincoln11002:023
    5Stevenage11003:213
    6Cardiff11002:113
    7Bradford City11002:113
    8Rotherham11002:113
    9Burton11002:113
    10Doncaster11001:013
    11Luton11001:013
    12Stockport County00000:000
    13Bolton00000:000
    14Blackpool10012:3-10
    15Port Vale10011:2-10
    16Wycombe10011:2-10
    17Mansfield10011:2-10
    18Peterborough10011:2-10
    19Exeter10010:1-10
    20AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10
    21Plymouth10011:3-20
    22Northampton10011:3-20
    23Reading10010:2-20
    24Leyton Orient10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two