Result
1:1
18/03/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37
- Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Morecambe
25.6% | Draw
27.1% | Oxford United
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Morecambe - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(2.57) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
2 ↓
(2.53) |
6.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Morecambe - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Morecambe: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).
- Morecambe has the most likely position - 22 (34.9%), project points - 40, currently - 33, a good chance of relegated (85%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Oxford has the most likely position - 18 (18.65%), project points - 49, currently - 36, a small chance of relegated (12%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has small quality 14, importance 42, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 1.
- Morecambe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Oxford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Morecambe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Oxford United?
Morecambe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Morecambe?
Oxford United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Morecambe - Oxford United were as follows:
Latest results of Morecambe
Latest results of Oxford United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
