Oxford United vs Norwich City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 32
Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.45	2.31
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
1	4
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	4
Passes
70% (224/318)	78% (384/490)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.45	2.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	2.52
Total shots
7	8
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
3	1
Shots inside the box
3	6
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
14	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	4
Free kicks
12	8
Passes
70% (224/318)	78% (384/490)
Long passes
38% (24/64)	32% (23/72)
Passes in final third
63% (61/97)	63% (74/118)
Crosses
7% (1/15)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	1.10
Throw ins
30	23
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
81% (13/16)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
53	53
Clearances
26	26
Interceptions
15	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
2	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
2.52	0.01
Goals prevented
-0.48	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Toure M. ⚽, Grimshaw D. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Toure M. ⚽, Chrisene B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
46', Long S. ↓, Roosken R. ↑,
47', 0 - 3, Toure M. ⚽,
53', Chrisene B. 🟨,
56', Emakhu A. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
60', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
60', Slimane A. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
70', Harris M. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
71', Brannagan C. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
71', Gibbs L. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
72', Fisher K. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
84', McLean K. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oxford United
30.4%

Draw
29.8%

Norwich City
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Oxford United - Norwich City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.7)	3.16 ↓ (3.46)	2.38 ↓ (2.51)	5.6% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Norwich City?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Norwich will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 42.6% – 78.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 20%). Norwich (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Norwich (1.59) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Norwich (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Norwich (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Norwich (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
Oxford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Norwich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Norwich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Norwich City?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Oxford United?

Norwich City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Norwich City were as follows:

25.11.2025 Norwich City - Oxford United 1:1

07.03.2025 Norwich City - Oxford United 1:1

10.08.2024 Oxford United - Norwich City 2:0

Latest results of Oxford United

07.02.2026 Coventry City - Oxford United 0:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Sheffield United - Oxford United 3:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Oxford United - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Leicester City - Oxford United 1:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Norwich City

07.02.2026 Norwich City - Blackburn Rovers 2:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 1:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Norwich City - Coventry City 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 West Bromwich Albion - Norwich City 0:5 ✺

17.01.2026 Wrexham - Norwich City 1:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One