Oxford United vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 23
Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	1.31
Ball Possession
29%	71%
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
74% (189/256)	86% (534/621)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	1.49
Total shots
17	19
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
26	36
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	14
Passes
74% (189/256)	86% (534/621)
Long passes
41% (24/59)	51% (28/55)
Passes in final third
65% (54/83)	70% (97/138)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	1.86
Throw-ins
11	14
Fouls
14	9
Tackles
68% (13/19)	92% (11/12)
Duels won
41	51
Clearances
34	20
Interceptions
15	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.49	0.99
Goals prevented
0.49	-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Spencer B. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Goodrham T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
37', Downes F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
56', Downes F. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
66', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
70', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
75', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
75', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
85', Azaz F. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Mills S. ⚽, Lankshear W. (A),
90', Mills S. 🟨,
90+1', Mills S. ↓, Long S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Oxford United
24.9%

Draw
25.1%

Southampton
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.1%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.6%

53%

Oxford United - Southampton Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.13)	3.75 ↓ (3.77)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Southampton?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). S`hampton will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 35% – 88%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Oxford (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 11).
Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.
There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downs D. (Knock) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Hip Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Southampton?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Oxford United?

Southampton has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Southampton were as follows:

31.07.2024 Oxford United - Southampton 2:0

Latest results of Oxford United

20.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Oxford United - Preston North End 1:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

28.11.2025 Oxford United - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Southampton

20.12.2025 Southampton - Coventry City 1:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 3:2 ✺

06.12.2025 Southampton - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺

29.11.2025 Millwall - Southampton 3:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
3	Middlesbrough	27	14	7	6	40:28	12	49
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Stoke	27	12	5	10	32:23	9	41
8	Watford	26	11	8	7	37:31	6	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
16	Southampton	27	8	9	10	39:40	-1	33
17	Sheffield Utd	26	10	2	14	36:39	-3	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
22	Portsmouth	25	7	7	11	22:35	-13	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One