Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 39
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (601/645) | 77% (207/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (601/645) | 77% (207/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (95/123) | 59% (52/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 36% (4/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Larin C. ⚽, Fellows T. (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, Charles S. ⚽, Archer C. (A),
- 31', Mills S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Archer C. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
- 59', Larin C. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 70', Currie J. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 70', Konak Y. E. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
- 77', Fellows T. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
- 77', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Jeon Jin-Woo ↑,
- 77', Lankshear W. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 79', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 88', Mills S. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 90', Helik M. 🟨,
- 90', Manning R. ↓, Quarshie J. ↑,
- 90', Azaz F. ↓, Oyekunle N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Southampton
59.4% | Draw
23.9% | Oxford United
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+11.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Southampton - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.42) |
4.01 ↓
(4.67) |
5.65 ↓
(7.14) |
5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 78.1% – 99.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- S`hampton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Oxford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Oxford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, S`hampton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Robinson J.
(Thigh Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Welington
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Scienza L.
(Injury)
Stewart R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Leigh G.
(Inactive)
- We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Oxford United?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Southampton?
Oxford United has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Oxford United were as follows:
26.12.2025
Oxford United
-
Southampton
2:1
31.07.2024
Oxford United
-
Southampton
2:0
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
