Result
2:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 23
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/256) | 86% (534/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/256) | 86% (534/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 70% (97/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Goodrham T. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
- 37', Downes F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 56', Downes F. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
- 66', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
- 70', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
- 75', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
- 75', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 85', Azaz F. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Mills S. ⚽, Lankshear W. (A),
- 90', Mills S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Mills S. ↓, Long S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
24.9% | Draw
25.1% | Southampton
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oxford United - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(4.13) |
3.75 ↓
(3.77) |
1.89 ↑
(1.82) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). S`hampton will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 11).
- Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Downs D.
(Knock)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jelert E.
(Hip Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Southampton?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Oxford United?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Southampton were as follows:
31.07.2024
Oxford United
-
Southampton
2:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 29 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | -5 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -27 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
