Result
2:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 23
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/256) | 86% (534/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/256) | 86% (534/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (24/59) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 70% (97/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Goodrham T. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
- 37', Downes F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 56', Downes F. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
- 66', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
- 70', Fellows T. ↓, Fraser R. ↑,
- 75', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
- 75', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 85', Azaz F. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Mills S. ⚽, Lankshear W. (A),
- 90', Mills S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Mills S. ↓, Long S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
24.9% | Draw
25.1% | Southampton
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3%)
Oxford United - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↓
(4.13) |
3.75 ↓
(3.77) |
1.89 ↑
(1.82) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Southampton?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). S`hampton will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Oxford (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 11).
- Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- S`hampton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, S`hampton is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Downs D.
(Knock)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jelert E.
(Hip Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
Stewart R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Southampton?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Oxford United?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Southampton were as follows:
31.07.2024
Oxford United
-
Southampton
2:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
