San Marcial vs Oyonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 0 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


San Marcial
22.5%
Draw
28.6%
Oyonesa
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 30.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 29.7% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Marcial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcial's form might have worsened.
  • Oyonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oyonesa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcial than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcial, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonesa than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oyonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Marcial - Oyonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (3.12)
    3.18
    (2.97)
    1.85
    (2.25)
    10.2%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oyonesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Oyonesa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Marcial won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcial - Oyonesa were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Oyonesa - San Marcial 2:1
    Latest results of San Marcial
    18.01.2026 Pradejón - San Marcial 0:0
    11.01.2026 Anguiano - San Marcial 0:1
    21.12.2025 Agoncillo - San Marcial 3:2
    13.12.2025 San Marcial - Villegas 0:1
    Latest results of Oyonesa
    18.01.2026 Oyonesa - La Calzada 1:1
    10.01.2026 Oyonesa - Varea 0:1
    04.01.2026 Peña Balsamaiso - Oyonesa 1:3
    21.12.2025 Oyonesa - Autol 2:0
    14.12.2025 Berceo - Oyonesa 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation