Chivas Guadalajara vs Pachuca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/03/2026 at 13:07 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, FOX One
usaUsaNBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Corner kicks
07
Yellow cards
02
Total shots
411
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
29
Corner kicks
07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Casarez J. A. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Corral V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+2', Aline Gomes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Franco Y. , Castro D. ,
  • 61', Iturbide A. , Cervantes A. ,
  • 66', Valenzuela G. , Godinez D. ,
  • 67', Fragoso Garcia A. A. , Garcia Ramirez M. P. ,
  • 67', Nicosia N. , Ihezuo C. ,
  • 79', Minota Y. 🟨,
  • 80', Aline Gomes , Mauleon M. ,
  • 83', Casarez J. A. , Salazar E. ,
  • 84', Ohale O. , Caicedo K. ,

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
30.1%
Draw
27.1%
Pachuca
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.1% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 26.8% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (3.14)
    3.35
    (3.35)
    2.12
    (2.06)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Guadalajara (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1.
    • Guadalajara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Pachuca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Pachuca could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.9:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1
    13.04.2025 Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    22.09.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca 3:3
    21.04.2024 Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara 3:0
    03.11.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca 3:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Pachuca
    12.03.2026 Pachuca - Tijuana 2:0
    22.02.2026 Pachuca - Juárez 3:0
    16.02.2026 Toluca - Pachuca 1:1
    06.02.2026 Pachuca - Mazatlan 3:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W ✔ 16124039:53440
    2Club America W ✔ 16123141:113039
    3Pachuca W ✔ 16113244:123236
    4Tigres UANL W ✔ 16104238:132534
    5Guadalajara Chivas W ✔ 1595125:111432
    6Toluca W ✔ 16102437:251232
    7Cruz Azul W ✔ 1693437:181930
    8Juarez W1574424:16825
    9Club Tijuana W1674529:23625
    10UNAM Pumas W1663722:28-621
    11Mazatlan FC W1653819:25-618
    12Atl. San Luis W1653818:31-1318
    13Club Leon W1644831:33-216
    14Atlas W16331021:38-1712
    15Puebla W1622128:44-368
    16Santos Laguna W16131211:29-186
    17Queretaro W16121311:43-325
    18Necaxa W1611149:59-504

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Monterrey W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Guadalajara Chivas W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Toluca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)