Result
1:1
16/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Pereira A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', Martinez K. ↓, Guatemala D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ramirez M. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 46', Robert F. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 60', Caicedo K. 🟨,
- 70', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
- 70', Cuevas B. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
- 71', Aline Gomes ↓, Vance M. ↑,
- 77', Garcia Ramirez M. P. ↓, Becerra S. ↑,
- 85', Ibarra B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
38.2% | Draw
26% | Pachuca
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(3.1) |
3.53 ↓
(3.61) |
2.57 ↑
(1.97) |
8.8%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Toluca - Pachuca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Toluca (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
- In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pachuca is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Pachuca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Pachuca?
Toluca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Toluca?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Pachuca were as follows:
04.08.2025
Pachuca
-
Toluca
1:2
20.03.2025
Pachuca
-
Toluca
2:3
30.09.2024
Toluca
-
Pachuca
1:3
18.03.2024
Pachuca
-
Toluca
4:0
30.07.2023
Toluca
-
Pachuca
2:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Juarez W (8) | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W (3) | Toluca W (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monterrey W (2) | Cruz Azul W (7) | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Pachuca W (4) | Guadalajara Chivas W (5) | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Toluca W (6) | |
| 2 | Monterrey W (2) | Pachuca W (4) | |
