Result
2:0
30/08/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 82% (386/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 82% (386/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (107/135) | 60% (47/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Lichnovsky I. ⚽, Zendejas A. (A),
- 34', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dominguez A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 60', Rodriguez B. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 60', Aguirre R. ↓, Zuniga J. ↑,
- 60', Carvalho W. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 61', Idrissi O. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 65', Sanchez E. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 0, Saint-Maximin A. ⚽,
- 74', Aceves A. 🟨,
- 75', Quinones L. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 79', Sanchez E. ↓, dos Santos J. ↑,
- 89', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 90', Zendejas A. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
- 90', Fidalgo A. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Club América
48.4% | Draw
26.2% | Pachuca
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club América, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Club América - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.81) |
3.55 ↓
(3.63) |
3.68 ↓
(4.18) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Club América - Pachuca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. América (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Club América will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.
- América has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Pachuca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- América may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pachuca has had a series of away games.
- In this match, América is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in América: Martin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Naveda S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Seoane J.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, América won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Club América won against Pachuca?
Club América has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Club América?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club América - Pachuca were as follows:
10.05.2025
Club América
-
Pachuca
2:0
07.05.2025
Pachuca
-
Club América
0:0
05.04.2025
Pachuca
-
Club América
1:0
06.11.2024
Club América
-
Pachuca
2:1
11.05.2024
Club América
-
Pachuca
1:1
Latest results of Club América
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Toluca | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
