Result
1:1
18/03/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 25
- Referee: Ferreira V. (Por)
Chances of winning
Arouca
43.3% | Draw
29% | Paços de Ferreira
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Arouca - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(1.91) |
3.24 ↓
(3.35) |
3.39 ↓
(3.98) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arouca - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
Arouca will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Arouca has the most likely position - 5 (26.68%), project points - 50, currently - 37, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 17 (42.12%), project points - 24, currently - 15, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 44, small importance 16, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 0.
- Arouca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Paços de Ferreira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Arouca will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Arouca: Vitinho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Djalo M.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Paços de Ferreira?
Arouca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Arouca?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
02.10.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Arouca
1:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 31 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 30:8 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Braga | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | Estoril | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:24 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Nacional | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Estrela | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 13 |
| 16 | Arouca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:37 | -22 | 13 |
| 17 | Tondela | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9:27 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11:39 | -28 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
