Result
2:1
06/03/2023 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
47.6% | Draw
29.7% | Paços de Ferreira
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
3.18 ↓
(3.22) |
4.14 ↑
(3.84) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 50.6% – 82.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.96%), has project points - 45, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (52.17%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 42, small importance 14, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
Mukendi B.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Casa Pia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
20.11.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
1:1
11.09.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
2:3
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32:7 | 25 | 32 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:6 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:21 | -4 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | -15 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | -23 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9:31 | -22 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
