Casa Pia vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira
Result
2:1
06/03/2023 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
47.6%
Draw
29.7%
Paços de Ferreira
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 29.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 29.3% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.02)
    3.18
    (3.22)
    4.14
    (3.84)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 50.6%82.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
    • Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.96%), has project points - 45, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (52.17%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 42, small importance 14, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel (Broken Leg) Mukendi B. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    20.11.2022 Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia 1:1
    11.09.2022 Paços de Ferreira - Casa Pia 2:3
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    25.02.2023 Arouca - Casa Pia 2:0
    13.02.2023 Boavista - Casa Pia 0:0
    09.02.2023 Casa Pia - Nacional 2:5
    04.02.2023 Benfica - Casa Pia 3:0
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP330012:1119
    2FC Porto33009:099
    3Moreirense33005:149
    4Braga32108:267
    5Famalicao32104:047
    6Benfica22004:046
    7Gil Vicente31112:204
    8Arouca31116:10-44
    9Vitoria Guimaraes31023:7-43
    10Casa Pia31022:6-43
    11Rio Ave20204:402
    12Estrela30213:4-12
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Alverca30123:7-41
    15AFS30123:7-41
    16Nacional30122:7-51
    17Santa Clara20020:4-40
    18Tondela30030:7-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2