Result
2:1
06/03/2023 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
47.6% | Draw
29.7% | Paços de Ferreira
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
3.18 ↓
(3.22) |
4.14 ↑
(3.84) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 50.6% – 82.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.96%), has project points - 45, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (52.17%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 42, small importance 14, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
Mukendi B.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Casa Pia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
20.11.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
1:1
11.09.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
2:3
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
