Result
2:1
06/03/2023 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
47.6% | Draw
29.7% | Paços de Ferreira
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.02) |
3.18 ↓
(3.22) |
4.14 ↑
(3.84) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Casa Pia will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Casa Pia: 50.6% – 82.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Casa Pia has the most likely position - 7 (14.96%), has project points - 45, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (52.17%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 42, small importance 14, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Casa Pia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Leo Natel
(Broken Leg)
Mukendi B.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Casa Pia: Tchamba D.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Paços de Ferreira?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Casa Pia?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
20.11.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
1:1
11.09.2022
Paços de Ferreira
-
Casa Pia
2:3
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Estrela | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
