Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 13
- Referee: Vieira B. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Alves R. ↓, Simoes T. ↑,
- 25', Bikoro F. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Roberto ⚽,
- 36', Nito 🟨,
- 45+2', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nito ↓, Francisco Ramos ↑,
- 53', Sousa A. 🟨,
- 71', Roberto ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
- 71', Wellington Carvalho ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 72', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 72', Anilson ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 73', Kusso D. 🟨,
- 79', Sousa A. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 79', Cunha N. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 82', Kusso D. ↓, Rodrigues G. ↑,
- 82', Reinaldo ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 83', Muscat Z. 🟨,
- 84', Kauan 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 0, Bruno Rodrigues ⚽,
Chances of winning
Chaves
59.1% | Draw
24.7% | Paços de Ferreira
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Chaves - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.53) |
3.79 ↓
(4.19) |
5.73 ↑
(5.65) |
7.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chaves - Paços de Ferreira?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Chaves (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Chaves will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chaves is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Paços de Ferreira?
Chaves has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Chaves?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
30.03.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
2:0
02.11.2024
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
13.05.2023
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
08.01.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
1:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
