Result
18/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
29.3% | Draw
29.8% | Chaves
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Paços de Ferreira - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↓
(3.21) |
3.11 ↓
(3.19) |
2.27 ↑
(2.24) |
7.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Chaves?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Paços de Ferreira?
Chaves has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Chaves were as follows:
07.12.2025
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
30.03.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
2:0
02.11.2024
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
13.05.2023
Chaves
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
08.01.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Chaves
1:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
