Result
1:1
01/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Landinho ⚽, Santos Teixeira L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Francisco Ramos ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
- 46', Sousa A. ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 61', Silva V. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Victor J. ⚽,
- 65', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 68', Fernandinho ↓, Nito ↑,
- 74', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 74', Moreira V. ↓, Berna ↑,
- 79', Rafael 🟨,
- 80', Cruz F. 🟨,
- 81', Cruz F. ↓, Jean Felipe ↑,
- 85', Rafael ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 89', Santos Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 90', Nito 🟨,
- 90+6', Berna 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
26.1% | Draw
28.4% | Felgueiras
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paços de Ferreira's form might have worsened.Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(2.94) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
2.06 ↓
(2.32) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Felgueiras will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 32.4% – 71.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 5 - 50%). Felgueiras (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Paços de Ferreira (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Felgueiras (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 13).
- Paços de Ferreira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Felgueiras is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Felgueiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Felgueiras?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Paços de Ferreira?
Felgueiras has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Felgueiras were as follows:
10.05.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Felgueiras
1:2
12.01.2025
Felgueiras
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
24.07.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Felgueiras
4:4
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
