Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Jesus F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Carlos Daniel ⚽,
- 31', Kauan 🟨,
- 35', Rafael 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Butzke A. ⚽, Bouzaidi S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kauan ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 57', Correia R. 🟨,
- 61', Fernandinho ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
- 61', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 65', Butzke A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 68', Mota ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 78', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Igor Juliao ↑,
- 78', Carlos Daniel ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 78', Lumungo R. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 85', Danilovic V. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
- 85', Xavi Grande ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
Chances of winning
Marítimo
57.5% | Draw
25.3% | Paços de Ferreira
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.67) |
3.76 ↓
(3.8) |
5.42 ↑
(4.93) |
6.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Paços de Ferreira?
Marítimo has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Marítimo?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
25.01.2025
Marítimo
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:2
18.08.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Marítimo
1:2
11.02.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Marítimo
1:2
02.09.2023
Marítimo
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
15.04.2023
Marítimo
-
Paços de Ferreira
3:1
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
