Paderborn vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld
Result
4:3
18/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 9
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFranceNew World TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.212.75
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
76% (297/392)73% (278/379)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
3.212.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.672.27
Total shots
2016
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
179
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
4138
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1520
Passes
76% (297/392)73% (278/379)
Long passes
41% (28/69)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
53% (50/95)57% (73/128)
Crosses
63% (10/16)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.77
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
2015
Tackles
39% (7/18)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6064
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
2.273.67
Goals prevented
-0.73-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 14', Hansen M. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Grodowski J. (Pen),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Baur M. , Bilbija F. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Momuluh T. , Grodowski J. (A),
  • 31', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 34', Momuluh T. 🟨,
  • 34', Klaas S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Klaas S. , Batzner N. ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Tigges S. ,
  • 55', 3 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
  • 62', 4 - 2, Tigges S. , Baur M. (A),
  • 66', Momuluh T. , Young I. ,
  • 66', Grodowski J. , Sarenren Bazee N. ,
  • 66', Lannert C. , Boakye B. ,
  • 68', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
  • 69', Batzner N. 🟨,
  • 72', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 3, Handwerker T. (Pen),
  • 79', Handwerker T. 🟨,
  • 82', Baur M. , Marino S. ,
  • 82', Bilbija F. , Engelns L. ,
  • 83', Mehlem M. , Micheler F. ,
  • 89', Worl M. , Kania J. ,
  • 90+1', Brackelmann C. , Scheller T. ,
  • 90+4', Tigges S. , Michel S. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
54.8%
Draw
25.1%
Arminia Bielefeld
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 25.5% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 24.8% 20.5%

Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.73
(1.78)
3.78
(3.73)
4.63
(4.52)
5.8%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 0.
    • Paderborn is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Arminia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paderborn is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T. (Muscle Injury) Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Russo S. (Knee Injury) Sarenren Bazee N. (Muscle Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arminia: Grodowski J. (Knock) Mehlem M. (Injury)
    • We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
    20.05.2023 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2
    08.11.2022 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    27.09.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 2:0
    20.09.2025 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 0:2
    12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paderborn1182119:10926
    2Schalke1180315:7824
    3Elversberg1172224:101423
    4Hannover1163220:15521
    5Karlsruher SC1163219:14521
    6Kaiserslautern1162320:13720
    7Darmstadt1154216:9719
    8Hertha Berlin1152414:10417
    9Arminia Bielefeld1142521:18314
    10Preussen Munster1142517:20-314
    11Holstein Kiel1133512:12012
    12Nurnberg1133511:15-412
    13Dusseldorf1132610:19-911
    14Bochum1131714:18-410
    15Braunschweig1131712:22-1010
    16Greuther Furth1131717:30-1310
    17SG Dynamo Dresden1114615:22-77
    18Magdeburg112189:21-127

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