Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn
Result
2:2
20/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 33
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Arminia Bielefeld
33.5%
Draw
25.6%
Paderborn
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 26.8% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 27.2% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.6)
    3.72
    (3.53)
    2.32
    (2.55)
    5.4%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 17.8%64.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 5).
    • Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (52.97%), project points - 36, currently - 33, a chance of relegated (28%), not chance of promoted.
    • Paderborn has the most likely position - 4 (35.51%), project points - 57, currently - 54, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3.
    • Arminia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paderborn is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Arminia won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn were as follows:
    08.11.2022 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 0:2
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    Latest results of Paderborn
    14.05.2023 Paderborn - Heidenheim 3:2
    05.05.2023 Hamburger SV - Paderborn 2:2
    23.04.2023 Sandhausen - Paderborn 2:2
    15.04.2023 Paderborn - Hansa Rostock 3:0
    09.04.2023 Darmstadt - Paderborn 2:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    2Braunschweig00000:000
    3Dusseldorf00000:000
    4Magdeburg00000:000
    5Holstein Kiel00000:000
    6Schalke00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Hertha Berlin00000:000
    9Karlsruher SC00000:000
    10Bochum00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Nurnberg00000:000
    13Greuther Furth00000:000
    14Kaiserslautern00000:000
    15Paderborn00000:000
    16Darmstadt00000:000
    17Preussen Munster00000:000
    18Elversberg00000:000

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga