Result
4:3
18/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 1, New World Sport App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | New World TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 2.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/392) | 73% (278/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 2.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.67 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/392) | 73% (278/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (50/95) | 57% (73/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 3.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 14', Hansen M. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Grodowski J. (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 1, Baur M. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
- 29', 1 - 2, Momuluh T. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
- 31', Obermair R. 🟨,
- 34', Momuluh T. 🟨,
- 34', Klaas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Klaas S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 2, Tigges S. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
- 62', 4 - 2, Tigges S. ⚽, Baur M. (A),
- 66', Momuluh T. ↓, Young I. ↑,
- 66', Grodowski J. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
- 66', Lannert C. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
- 68', Sarenren Bazee N. 🟨,
- 69', Batzner N. 🟨,
- 72', Gotze F. 🟨,
- 73', 4 - 3, Handwerker T. (Pen),
- 79', Handwerker T. 🟨,
- 82', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
- 82', Bilbija F. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 83', Mehlem M. ↓, Micheler F. ↑,
- 89', Worl M. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
- 90+1', Brackelmann C. ↓, Scheller T. ↑,
- 90+4', Tigges S. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
54.8% | Draw
25.1% | Arminia Bielefeld
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.78) |
3.78 ↑
(3.73) |
4.63 ↑
(4.52) |
5.8%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Paderborn (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paderborn will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 0.
- Paderborn is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Arminia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Arminia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paderborn is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Arminia: Handwerker T.
(Muscle Injury)
Hilterman J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Russo S.
(Knee Injury)
Sarenren Bazee N.
(Muscle Injury)
Uldrikis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Arminia: Grodowski J.
(Knock)
Mehlem M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Paderborn has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Paderborn?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld were as follows:
20.05.2023
Arminia Bielefeld
-
Paderborn
2:2
08.11.2022
Paderborn
-
Arminia Bielefeld
0:2
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
