Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
- Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (389/463) | 81% (339/419) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (389/463) | 81% (339/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (37/66) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (95/135) | 53% (30/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 46', Batzner N. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 60', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Gotze F. (A),
- 72', Bobzien B. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
- 72', Ceka J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
- 72', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 86', Amoako K. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 86', Muller R. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 86', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 90', Okpala K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kutschke S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
51.8% | Draw
25.1% | Dynamo Dresden
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paderborn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.62) |
3.73 ↓
(3.98) |
4.03 ↓
(4.46) |
6.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- Paderborn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dynamo Dresden has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Paderborn is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Inactive)
Copado L.
(Muscle Injury)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Bethke E.
(Muscle Injury)
Grill L.
(Knee Injury)
Sapina V.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Ceka J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Dynamo Dresden?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Paderborn?
Dynamo Dresden has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
25.10.2025
Dynamo Dresden
-
Paderborn
1:2
13.07.2023
Paderborn
-
Dynamo Dresden
0:2
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 49:30 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:51 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Bochum | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:59 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
