Dynamo Dresden vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

2. Bundesliga - Round 10
Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.43
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
10	4
Passes
78% (281/361)	84% (384/457)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.92	1.28
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
78% (281/361)	84% (384/457)
Long passes
37% (16/43)	47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
60% (49/81)	61% (61/100)
Crosses
11% (3/28)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.77
Throw-ins
27	23
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
61% (11/18)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
48	51
Clearances
31	39
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.28	0.92
Goals prevented
-0.72	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Daferner C. (Pen),
45+2', 1 - 1, Bilbija F. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Batzner N. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽,
70', Froling N. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
70', Daferner C. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
70', Menzel T. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
75', Amoako K. 🟨,
77', Faber K. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
82', Curda L. 🟨,
83', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
90+1', Bilbija F. 🟨,
90+3', Kother D. 🟨,
90+6', Obermair R. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
90+6', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
29.3%

Draw
25.3%

Paderborn
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

26.3%

41.4%

Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.92)	3.72 ↑ (3.57)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)	5.6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Paderborn will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 52.1% – 90.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Paderborn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Kutschke S. (Red Card) Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Paderborn?

Dynamo Dresden has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Dynamo Dresden?

Paderborn has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn were as follows:

13.07.2023 Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden 0:2

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

18.10.2025 Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher 3:3 ✺

26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Hannover 2:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Paderborn

18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn 1:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Paderborn - Kaiserslautern 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Hertha Berlin - Paderborn 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	17	12	1	4	22:10	12	37
2	Elversberg	17	10	4	3	31:15	16	34
3	Darmstadt	17	9	6	2	29:17	12	33
4	Paderborn	17	10	3	4	28:18	10	33
5	Hannover	17	8	5	4	30:22	8	29
6	Hertha Berlin	17	8	4	5	21:16	5	28
7	Kaiserslautern	17	8	3	6	29:21	8	27
8	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
9	Karlsruher SC	17	6	4	7	25:33	-8	22
10	Bochum	17	6	3	8	23:22	1	21
11	Holstein Kiel	17	5	5	7	20:22	-2	20
12	Preussen Munster	17	5	5	7	22:26	-4	20
13	Braunschweig	17	6	2	9	20:29	-9	20
14	Arminia Bielefeld	17	5	4	8	27:24	3	19
15	Magdeburg	17	5	2	10	21:29	-8	17
16	Dusseldorf	17	5	2	10	15:27	-12	17
17	Greuther Furth	17	4	3	10	26:44	-18	15
18	SG Dynamo Dresden	17	3	4	10	24:34	-10	13

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga