Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 10
- Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/361) | 84% (384/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (281/361) | 84% (384/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/81) | 61% (61/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/28) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Daferner C. (Pen),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Bilbija F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Batzner N. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽,
- 70', Froling N. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
- 70', Daferner C. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
- 70', Menzel T. ↓, Amoako K. ↑,
- 75', Amoako K. 🟨,
- 77', Faber K. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
- 82', Curda L. 🟨,
- 83', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
- 84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 90+1', Bilbija F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kother D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Obermair R. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
- 90+6', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
29.3% | Draw
25.3% | Paderborn
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-4%)
Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.92) |
3.72 ↑
(3.57) |
2.1 ↓
(2.3) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Paderborn will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 52.1% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Paderborn (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Paderborn (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
- In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paderborn is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Kutschke S.
(Red Card)
Pauli J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Risch S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Schreiber T.
(Hand Injury)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Paderborn?
Dynamo Dresden has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Dynamo Dresden?
Paderborn has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn were as follows:
13.07.2023
Paderborn
-
Dynamo Dresden
0:2
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
