Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.530.75
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
54
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
71
Passes
84% (462/549)75% (251/334)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.530.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.481.78
Total shots
810
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
58
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1210
Passes
84% (462/549)75% (251/334)
Long passes
47% (27/57)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
71% (116/163)52% (38/73)
Crosses
17% (5/30)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.48
Throw ins
1925
Fouls
1012
Tackles
68% (15/22)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5745
Clearances
2840
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.781.48
Goals prevented
0.78-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Okpala K. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
  • 11', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Hansen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Castaneda S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
  • 46', Okpala K. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
  • 55', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
  • 58', Suso S. 🟨,
  • 59', Zimmermann M. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
  • 59', Suso S. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Appelkamp S. ⚽, Muslija F. (A),
  • 66', Michel S. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
  • 72', Hansen M. 🟨,
  • 79', Klaas S. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
  • 84', Itten C. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
  • 85', Gotze F. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
  • 88', Appelkamp S. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Düsseldorf
33.3%		Draw
27.6%		Paderborn
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 25.4% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 25.6% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
    •

    Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.85 ↓
    (3.04)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.4 ↑
    (2.17)    		 6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 46.5% – 86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 2 - 40%). Paderborn (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Fortuna (2.19) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paderborn (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Fortuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paderborn will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Inactive) Egouli E. (Red Card) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Lunddal V. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortuna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    13.04.2025 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    09.11.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn 1:1
    04.02.2024 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:3
    19.08.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn 1:2
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    24.01.2026 Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    16.01.2026 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Slovan Liberec - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:3
    20.12.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paderborn
    25.01.2026 Paderborn - Preußen Münster 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0 ✺
    19.12.2025 Paderborn - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:4 ✺
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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