Paderborn vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf
Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, SportKlub 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.59
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
86% (319/373)87% (446/514)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.561.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.422.22
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
812
Passes
86% (319/373)87% (446/514)
Long passes
45% (21/47)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)72% (112/156)
Crosses
17% (4/23)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.22
Throw-ins
1411
Fouls
128
Tackles
76% (16/21)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5366
Clearances
2133
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.221.42
Goals prevented
0.220.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', Scheller T. 🟥,
  • 31', Alexandropoulos S. 🟨,
  • 34', Itten C. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Itten C. ⚽, Fridriksson V. (A),
  • 38', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Muslija F. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
  • 46', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
  • 57', Engelns L. 🟨,
  • 60', Engelns L. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
  • 74', Grimaldi A. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
  • 75', Schmidt K. ↓, Lenz C. ↑,
  • 75', Rossmann T. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
  • 80', Baur M. ↓, Copado L. ↑,
  • 80', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Batzner N. ⚽, Marino S. (A),
  • 90+2', Appelkamp S. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
  • 90+4', Muslija F. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
53.8%		Draw
23.9%		Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 24.4% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
    •

    Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.77 ↓
    (1.81)    		 3.93 ↑
    (3.88)    		 4.2 ↑
    (4.06)    		 5.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Fortuna will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 58.6% – 97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Paderborn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Fortuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Michel S. (Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Anhari H. (Injury) Iyoha E. (Calf Injury) Manu K. S. (Muscle Injury) Raimund L. (Injury) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)
    • We predict that Paderborn will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    09.11.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn 1:1
    04.02.2024 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:3
    19.08.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn 1:2
    03.02.2023 Paderborn - Fortuna Düsseldorf 4:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    17.08.2025 Viktoria Köln - Paderborn 1:3 ✺
    08.08.2025 Preußen Münster - Paderborn 1:1 ✺
    02.08.2025 Paderborn - Holstein Kiel 2:1 ✺
    19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1
    19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 2:3
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    18.08.2025 Schweinfurt - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:4 ✺
    09.08.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover 0:2 ✺
    02.08.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Fortuna Düsseldorf 5:1 ✺
    26.07.2025 Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:4
    22.07.2025 Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:3
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke970213:5821
    2Paderborn962115:8720
    3Elversberg861116:61019
    4Kaiserslautern960318:11718
    5Darmstadt852114:6817
    6Hannover952215:13217
    7Karlsruher SC943213:12115
    8Hertha Berlin932411:10111
    9Preussen Munster932415:17-211
    10Arminia Bielefeld931517:16110
    11Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Braunschweig931511:17-610
    14Dusseldorf93159:17-810
    15SG Dynamo Dresden914414:18-47
    16Nurnberg82157:12-57
    17Bochum920711:17-66
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

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