Paderborn vs Hannover – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.31
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
49
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
82% (415/505)81% (341/422)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.841.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.142.80
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
49
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
512
Passes
82% (415/505)81% (341/422)
Long passes
39% (18/46)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
58% (70/120)68% (78/115)
Crosses
19% (5/26)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.62
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
125
Tackles
71% (12/17)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5064
Clearances
2542
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
2.801.14
Goals prevented
0.801.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Kallman B. , Nawrocki M. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Kallman B. , Aseko-Nkili N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Aseko-Nkili N. 🟨,
  • 66', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 66', Bilbija F. , Batzner N. ,
  • 66', Klaas S. , Michel S. ,
  • 68', Bundu M. , Rochelt J. ,
  • 68', Aseko-Nkili N. , Roggow F. ,
  • 76', Hansen M. , Worner M. ,
  • 76', Baur M. , Engelns L. ,
  • 80', Kallman B. , Nielsen H. ,
  • 84', Oudenne K. , Allgeier B. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
43.5%
Draw
26.5%
Hannover
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 26.7% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26.4% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Paderborn - Hannover Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.2)
    3.55
    (3.54)
    3.19
    (3.11)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Hannover?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 60%). Hannover will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 38.5%81.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 5 - 50%). Hannover (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Hannover (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Hannover (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Paderborn is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hannover has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paderborn will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Pelvis Injury)
    • There will not play in Hannover: Husser D. (Broken ankle) Kurt T. (Foot Injury) Neubauer M. (Hamstring Injury) Pichler B. (Knee Injury) Sterner J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Hannover were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1
    19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 2:3
    20.03.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 0:1
    22.02.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1
    20.09.2024 Paderborn - Hannover 2:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Hannover
    08.11.2025 Hannover - Darmstadt 2:3
    31.10.2025 Elversberg - Hannover 2:2
    17.10.2025 Hannover - Schalke 04 0:3
    08.10.2025 Hannover - Hallescher 2:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga