Sandhausen vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Sandhausen - Paderborn
Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 29
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Sandhausen
19.3%
Draw
23.5%
Paderborn
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 25.2% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 24.6% 50.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandhausen's form might have worsened.
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sandhausen - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (3.67)
    4.05
    (3.78)
    1.65
    (1.95)
    5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Sandhausen - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.9%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 6).
    • Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (70.1%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (90%), not chance of promoted.
    • Paderborn has the most likely position - 4 (37.69%), project points - 56, currently - 46, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has small quality 26, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 0.
    • Sandhausen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Paderborn is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sandhausen - Paderborn were as follows:
    16.10.2022 Paderborn - Sandhausen 3:0
    Latest results of Sandhausen
    15.04.2023 Magdeburg - Sandhausen 1:2
    01.04.2023 Hannover - Sandhausen 3:1
    23.03.2023 Darmstadt - Sandhausen 1:1
    19.03.2023 Sandhausen - St. Pauli 0:5
    Latest results of Paderborn
    15.04.2023 Paderborn - Hansa Rostock 3:0
    09.04.2023 Darmstadt - Paderborn 2:1
    11.03.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt11004:133
    2Karlsruher SC11003:213
    3Schalke11002:113
    4Paderborn11002:113
    5Elversberg11001:013
    6SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    7Braunschweig00000:000
    8Dusseldorf00000:000
    9Magdeburg00000:000
    10Hannover00000:000
    11Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    12Greuther Furth00000:000
    13Kaiserslautern00000:000
    14Preussen Munster10012:3-10
    15Holstein Kiel10011:2-10
    16Hertha Berlin10011:2-10
    17Nurnberg10010:1-10
    18Bochum10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga