Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 29
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Sandhausen
19.3% | Draw
23.5% | Paderborn
57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandhausen's form might have worsened.Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sandhausen - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↑
(3.67) |
4.05 ↑
(3.78) |
1.65 ↓
(1.95) |
5.6%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sandhausen - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 35.9% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 6).
- Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (70.1%), project points - 30, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (90%), not chance of promoted.
- Paderborn has the most likely position - 4 (37.69%), project points - 56, currently - 46, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (4%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 26, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 0.
- Sandhausen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Paderborn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Paderborn is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-24.
- Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Sandhausen won against Paderborn?
Sandhausen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Sandhausen?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sandhausen - Paderborn were as follows:
16.10.2022
Paderborn
-
Sandhausen
3:0
Latest results of Sandhausen
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
