Result
0:2
02/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/402) | 80% (342/426) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (317/402) | 80% (342/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 59% (49/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (80/135) | 66% (73/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Donkor A. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Obermair R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Younes A. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Mehlem M. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
- 59', Seguin P. 🟨,
- 62', Hojlund E. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
- 62', Bachmann J. ↓, Antwi-Adjei C. ↑,
- 71', Seguin P. ↓, Gruger M. ↑,
- 71', Bulut T. ↓, Gantenbein A. ↑,
- 72', Michel S. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
- 80', Mehlem M. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 80', Brackelmann C. ↓, Hoffmeier M. ↑,
- 89', Ansah I. ↓, Platte F. ↑,
- 89', Bilbija F. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
24.5% | Draw
24.1% | Paderborn
51.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Schalke 04's form might have worsened.Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(2.93) |
3.93 ↑
(3.74) |
1.85 ↓
(2.23) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3.
- Recent performances by Schalke have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paderborn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z.
(Knee Injury)
Drexler D.
(Suspended)
Karius L.
(Groin Injury)
Murkin D. J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:13. (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Paderborn?
Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Schalke 04?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:
06.12.2024
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
2:4
09.03.2024
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
3:3
29.09.2023
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
3:1
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
