Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport 4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (142/237) | 77% (317/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (142/237) | 77% (317/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 51% (46/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (57/107) | 54% (50/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Brackelmann C. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Curda L. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Karaman K. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Gotze F. 🟨,
- 62', Brackelmann C. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 62', Bilbija F. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
- 67', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
- 74', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 74', Castaneda S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 83', Curda L. 🟨,
- 83', Karaman K. 🟨,
- 85', Schallenberg R. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
- 85', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Lasme B. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
- 88', Hansen M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
- 89', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
- 89', Sylla M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
- 90+8', Karius L. 🟨,
- 90+8', Batzner N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
36.3% | Draw
30.8% | Paderborn
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.59) |
3.07 ↓
(3.28) |
2.86 ↑
(2.59) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 44.1% – 85.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Schalke (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Schalke (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Schalke (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Schalke (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Paderborn (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 12 - 80%). Paderborn (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.
- Schalke has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paderborn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z.
(Knee Injury)
Becker T.
(Knee Injury)
Gomis C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Hojlund E.
(Heel Injury)
Kalas T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Remmert P.
(Inactive)
Younes A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
Muller R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Paderborn?
Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Schalke 04?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:
02.05.2025
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
0:2
06.12.2024
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
2:4
09.03.2024
Schalke 04
-
Paderborn
3:3
29.09.2023
Paderborn
-
Schalke 04
3:1
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 40:22 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Schalke | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 39 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 5 | Hannover | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Bochum | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 27 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 10 | Nurnberg | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 24 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 23 |
| 16 | Preussen Munster | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
