Schalke 04 vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.57
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
60% (142/237)77% (317/414)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.670.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.59
Total shots
148
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
147
Passes
60% (142/237)77% (317/414)
Long passes
35% (18/52)51% (46/90)
Passes in final third
53% (57/107)54% (50/93)
Crosses
7% (1/14)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.60
Throw-ins
2621
Fouls
714
Tackles
63% (10/16)80% (8/10)
Duels won
6249
Clearances
3549
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.591.82
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Brackelmann C. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Curda L. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Karaman K. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 62', Brackelmann C. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 62', Bilbija F. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
  • 67', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
  • 74', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
  • 74', Castaneda S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
  • 83', Curda L. 🟨,
  • 83', Karaman K. 🟨,
  • 85', Schallenberg R. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
  • 85', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Lasme B. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
  • 88', Hansen M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
  • 89', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
  • 89', Sylla M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
  • 90+8', Karius L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Batzner N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Schalke 04
36.3%		Draw
30.8%		Paderborn
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.3% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 28.4% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.6 ↑
    (2.59)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.28)    		 2.86 ↑
    (2.59)    		 6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 44.1% – 85.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Schalke (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Schalke (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Schalke (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Schalke (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Paderborn (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Schalke 04 will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 12 - 80%). Paderborn (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.
    • Schalke has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paderborn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Gomis C. (Hamstring Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Remmert P. (Inactive) Younes A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Muller R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 0:2
    06.12.2024 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:4
    09.03.2024 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 3:3
    29.09.2023 Paderborn - Schalke 04 3:1
    Latest results of Schalke 04
    22.11.2025 Preußen Münster - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺
    13.11.2025 Twente - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺
    01.11.2025 Karlsruher - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paderborn
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Paderborn - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺
    25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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