Schalke 04 vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen).

2. Bundesliga - Round 14
Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.57
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
60% (142/237)	77% (317/414)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.59
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
27	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
60% (142/237)	77% (317/414)
Long passes
35% (18/52)	51% (46/90)
Passes in final third
53% (57/107)	54% (50/93)
Crosses
7% (1/14)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.60
Throw-ins
26	21
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
63% (10/16)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
62	49
Clearances
35	49
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.59	1.82
Goals prevented
-0.41	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Brackelmann C. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Curda L. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Karaman K. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gotze F. 🟨,
62', Brackelmann C. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
62', Bilbija F. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
67', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
74', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
74', Castaneda S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
83', Curda L. 🟨,
83', Karaman K. 🟨,
85', Schallenberg R. ↓, Popperl P. ↑,
85', Wallentowitz M. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Lasme B. ⚽, Karaman K. (A),
88', Hansen M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
89', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
89', Sylla M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
90+8', Karius L. 🟨,
90+8', Batzner N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Schalke 04
36.3%

Draw
30.8%

Paderborn
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.4%

35.7%

Schalke 04 - Paderborn Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.59)	3.07 ↓ (3.28)	2.86 ↑ (2.59)	6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Paderborn?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 44.1% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Schalke (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 2.
Schalke has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paderborn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Schalke has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Becker T. (Knee Injury) Gomis C. (Hamstring Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Remmert P. (Inactive) Younes A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Muller R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:15. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Paderborn?

Schalke 04 has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Schalke 04?

Paderborn has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Paderborn were as follows:

02.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 0:2

06.12.2024 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:4

09.03.2024 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 3:3

29.09.2023 Paderborn - Schalke 04 3:1

Latest results of Schalke 04

22.11.2025 Preußen Münster - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺

13.11.2025 Twente - Schalke 04 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Elversberg 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Karlsruher - Schalke 04 2:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Paderborn

22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2 ✺

09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Paderborn - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	15	11	1	3	20:8	12	34
2	Elversberg	15	9	3	3	29:14	15	30
3	Darmstadt	15	8	5	2	26:15	11	29
4	Paderborn	15	9	2	4	22:16	6	29
5	Hannover	15	8	4	3	29:20	9	28
6	Kaiserslautern	15	8	2	5	27:18	9	26
7	Hertha Berlin	15	8	2	5	17:12	5	26
8	Karlsruher SC	15	6	3	6	23:27	-4	21
9	Bochum	15	6	1	8	21:20	1	19
10	Preussen Munster	15	5	4	6	21:24	-3	19
11	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	17:21	-4	19
12	Arminia Bielefeld	15	5	2	8	26:23	3	17
13	Holstein Kiel	15	4	4	7	15:18	-3	16
14	Braunschweig	15	4	2	9	15:26	-11	14
15	Dusseldorf	15	4	2	9	13:25	-12	14
16	Greuther Furth	15	4	2	9	22:39	-17	14
17	SG Dynamo Dresden	15	3	4	8	21:29	-8	13
18	Magdeburg	15	4	1	10	15:24	-9	13

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga