Paganese vs Fidelis Andria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 1 - 0, (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Paganese
47.2%
Draw
28.4%
Fidelis Andria
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 26.9% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fidelis Andria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Paganese - Fidelis Andria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.14)
    3.2
    (3.28)
    3.72
    (3.05)
    10.2%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 1.
    • Paganese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fidelis Andria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Paganese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paganese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Fidelis Andria were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Fidelis Andria - Paganese 1:0
    10.03.2024 Fidelis Andria - Paganese 3:1
    01.11.2023 Paganese - Fidelis Andria 2:2
    Latest results of Paganese
    11.01.2026 Heraclea - Paganese 1:2
    04.01.2026 Paganese - Nardo 0:1
    14.12.2025 Nola - Paganese 0:1
    07.12.2025 Paganese - Gravina 1:0
    Latest results of Fidelis Andria
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation