Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Paganese 47.2% | Draw 28.4% | Fidelis Andria 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fidelis Andria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Paganese - Fidelis Andria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.14) |
3.2 ↓ (3.28) |
3.72 ↑ (3.05) |
10.2% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 1.
- Paganese is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fidelis Andria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paganese will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paganese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Fidelis Andria?
Paganese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fidelis Andria won against Paganese?
Fidelis Andria has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Fidelis Andria were as follows:
19.09.2025
Fidelis Andria
-
Paganese
1:0
10.03.2024
Fidelis Andria
-
Paganese
3:1
01.11.2023
Paganese
-
Fidelis Andria
2:2
Latest results of Paganese
Latest results of Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | SS Nola 1925 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation