Result
0:2
08/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Labriola V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Virtus Francavilla
33.6% | Draw
32.9% | Paganese
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paganese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Virtus Francavilla - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.95) |
2.74 ↓
(2.85) |
2.69 ↑
(2.33) |
10.9%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 0.
- Virtus Francavilla is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paganese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Francavilla won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Francavilla won against Paganese?
Virtus Francavilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Virtus Francavilla?
Paganese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Virtus Francavilla - Paganese were as follows:
05.10.2025
Paganese
-
Virtus Francavilla
1:1
Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 48:18 | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 59 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 44:33 | 11 | 56 |
| 4 | Paganese | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 31 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Afragolese | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 47 |
| 8 | Gravina | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:38 | 2 | 46 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Sarnese | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Real Normanna | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | SS Nola 1925 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:44 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Francavilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 27:33 | -6 | 35 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 19:41 | -22 | 26 |
| 17 | Pompei | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 17:35 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 18:66 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
