Andijan vs Pakhtakor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:6
22/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 20
  • Referee: Kasimov N. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Total shots
813
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Resan B. ,
  • 18', Toirov M. 🟨,
  • 26', Abdumannopov D. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Resan B. ,
  • 37', Alizhonov K. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 3, Tokotaev E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Temirov D. , Akinade I. ,
  • 46', Resan B. , Riascos B. ,
  • 46', Kryeziu A. , Mirkodirov M. ,
  • 49', Ibrokhimov I. 🟨,
  • 54', Komilov A. , Usmonov M. ,
  • 65', Alizhonov K. 🟨,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 69', Ismonaliev U. , Abdullayev A. ,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Akinade I. ,
  • 71', Ibrokhimov I. , Khamdamov D. ,
  • 79', Sergeev I. , Erkinov K. ,
  • 80', Nowak K. , Mamatkazin I. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Abdullayev A. ,
  • 89', 2 - 4, Khamdamov D. , Erkinov K. (A),
  • 90+2', 2 - 5, Riascos B. , Erkinov K. (A),
  • 90+4', 2 - 6, Erkinov K. , Riascos B. (A),
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+10', Azmiddinov S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Andijan
20.1%
Draw
25.8%
Pakhtakor
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27.1% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 28.4% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Andijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andijan's form might have worsened.
  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pakhtakor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andijan than the current prediction. (+24.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andijan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-25.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pakhtakor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Andijan - Pakhtakor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.97
    (2.1)
    3.87
    (3.33)
    1.85
    (3)
    0.1%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Andijan - Pakhtakor?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Andijan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Pakhtakor will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pakhtakor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Andijan won 2.
    • Andijan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pakhtakor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pakhtakor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Andijan won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:32. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Andijan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Andijan - Pakhtakor were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Pakhtakor - Andijan 2:3
    31.10.2024 Pakhtakor - Andijan 3:1
    02.06.2024 Andijan - Pakhtakor 1:3
    08.10.2023 Andijan - Pakhtakor 1:0
    29.06.2023 Pakhtakor - Andijan 1:1
    Latest results of Andijan
    17.08.2025 Mashal Mubarek - Andijan 1:0
    07.08.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Andijan 1:1
    03.08.2025 Andijan - Kokand 1912 3:0
    05.07.2025 Andijan - Bunyodkor 0:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Neftchi Fargona440012:11112
    2Buxoro43106:2410
    3Pakhtakor43018:539
    4Lok. Tashkent42116:427
    5Nasaf Qarshi42114:227
    6Bunyodkor42114:317
    7Andijan42027:526
    8Navbahor Namangan42025:416
    9Qizilqum42024:406
    10OKMK41123:4-14
    11Xorazm Urganch41123:4-14
    12Kokand 191241123:4-14
    13Din. Samarkand41125:7-24
    14Termez Surkhon41122:6-44
    15Sogdiana40134:12-81
    16Mashal Muborak40040:9-90

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