Pakhtakor vs Dinamo Samarqand – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek Cup Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand
Result
1:0 penalties
25/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Uzbekistan Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
00
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Urozov J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Buriev A. 🟨,
  • 77', Tahseen Z. , Khamraliev M. ,
  • 77', Turgunboev A. , Khamdamov D. ,
  • 88', Pletnev D. , Urmonjonov O. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 98', Abdurakhmonov F. , Oblakulov B. ,
  • 106', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Riascos B. ,
  • 106', Alizhonov K. , Adkhamzoda U. ,
  • 107', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
  • 117', Abdumazhidov M. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Friday R. , Khalilov K. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Stanojevic M. (Pen),
  • 1, Sergeev I. (Pen),
  • 2, Jumaboev J. (Pen),
  • 2, Buriev A. (Pen),
  • 3, Khozhimirzaev A. (Pen),
  • 3, Khamdamov D. (Pen),
  • 4, Khalilov K. (Pen),
  • 4, Ibrokhimov I. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
56.5%
Draw
23.8%
Dinamo Samarqand
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 25.9% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 24.2% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Dinamo Samarqand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Samarqand than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.62)
    3.84
    (3.5)
    4.66
    (4.95)
    9.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pakhtakor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Pakhtakor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 1.
    • Pakhtakor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dinamo Samarqand's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pakhtakor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pakhtakor is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:14. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand were as follows:
    11.08.2025 Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor 1:1
    29.03.2025 Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand 0:1
    06.10.2024 Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand 4:2
    20.05.2024 Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor 1:1
    01.08.2023 Dinamo Samarqand - Pakhtakor 3:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    19.09.2025 Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor 0:0
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    Latest results of Dinamo Samarqand
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Kokand 1912Bunyodkor1 : 2
    2BuxoroOKMK3 : 1
    3SogdianaQizilqum4 : 1
    4Xorazm UrganchNavbahor Namangan1 : 3
    5PakhtakorOlimpik-Mobiuz2 : 1
    6Neftchi FargonaMashal Muborak0 : 1
    7Din. SamarkandLochin5 : 0
    8Shortan GuzorAral4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1BunyodkorBuxoro2 : 4
    2SogdianaNavbahor Namangan4 : 0
    3PakhtakorMashal Muborak3 : 1
    4Din. SamarkandShortan Guzor3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BuxoroSogdiana3 : 2
    2PakhtakorDin. Samarkand1 : 0

    Final
    1BuxoroPakhtakor