Pakhtakor vs Shurtan Guzar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar
Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Total shots
76
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. , Alizhonov K. (A),
  • 27', Nuriddinov S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Resan B. 🟨,
  • 61', Nuriddinov S. , Saidazimov K. ,
  • 74', Nazarov V. 🟥,
  • 77', Riascos B. , Shevchenko N. ,
  • 79', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
  • 82', Resan B. , Ibrokhimov I. ,
  • 86', Saidkhonov A. , Ergashboev A. ,
  • 87', Khasanov J. , Anvarov A. ,
  • 90+2', Sergeev I. , Jurakuziev O. ,
  • 90+4', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Kholmatov D. ,

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
75.1%
Draw
17.4%
Shurtan Guzar
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.5% 20.7% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 12.1% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pakhtakor's performance.
  • Shurtan Guzar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-34.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pakhtakor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shurtan Guzar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shurtan Guzar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pakhtakor - Shurtan Guzar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.34)
    5.29
    (4.49)
    12.12
    (9.42)
    8.9%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro Liga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 3.
    • Recent matches Pakhtakor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shurtan has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shurtan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Pakhtakor is certain favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Pakhtakor won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:9 (average 2.4:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 3.5:1).
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    Latest results of Shurtan Guzar
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi18107132:151737
    2Neftchi Fargona18106229:161336
    3OKMK18104426:18834
    4Din. Samarkand1897228:22634
    5Pakhtakor19103636:171933
    6Navbahor Namangan1894534:191531
    7Bunyodkor1887329:191031
    8Termez Surkhon1865717:19-223
    9Qizilqum1857616:25-922
    10Andijan1856723:25-221
    11Sogdiana1955921:24-320
    12Xorazm Urganch1854922:22019
    13Kokand 191218431113:31-1815
    14Mashal Muborak18431115:35-2015
    15Buxoro18351017:30-1314
    16Shortan Guzor18241211:32-2110

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga