AEK Larnaca vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE
Result
0:2
01/08/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
21
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
32
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Fouls
617
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
12287
Dangerous Attacks
11551

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Haraszti Z. ,
  • 19', Cabrera E. 🟨,
  • 35', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 37', Osvath A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Papp K. , Osvath A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez F. , Milicevic H. ,
  • 59', Rohden M. , Naoum G. ,
  • 59', Cabrera E. , Sol F. ,
  • 59', Haraszti Z. , Szabo B. ,
  • 59', Toth B. , Bode D. ,
  • 67', Faraj I. , Santos ,
  • 73', Vas G. 🟨,
  • 74', Papp K. , Balogh B. ,
  • 77', Gama B. , Demetriou M. ,
  • 81', Osvath A. , Kovacs K. ,
  • 81', Windecker J. , Silye E. ,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
53.4%
Draw
24.8%
Paksi SE
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.2% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.86)
    3.82
    (3.52)
    4.28
    (3.78)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 47 - 77%). Paks will win (votes: 12 - 19.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 66.4%87.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • AEK Larnaca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Paksi SE is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • AEK Larnaca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of guest games.
    • In this match AEK Larnaca is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Paksi SE - AEK Larnaca 3:0
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    25.07.2024 Paksi SE - AEK Larnaca 3:0
    17.07.2024 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 0:0
    03.07.2024 PAOK - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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