AEK Larnaca vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
01/08/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
166
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
21
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
32
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Fouls
617
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
12287
Dangerous Attacks
11551

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Haraszti Z. ,
  • 19', Cabrera E. 🟨,
  • 35', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 37', Osvath A. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Papp K. , Osvath A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez F. , Milicevic H. ,
  • 59', Rohden M. , Naoum G. ,
  • 59', Cabrera E. , Sol F. ,
  • 59', Haraszti Z. , Szabo B. ,
  • 59', Toth B. , Bode D. ,
  • 67', Faraj I. , Santos ,
  • 73', Vas G. 🟨,
  • 74', Papp K. , Balogh B. ,
  • 77', Gama B. , Demetriou M. ,
  • 81', Osvath A. , Kovacs K. ,
  • 81', Windecker J. , Silye E. ,

Chances of winning


AEK Larnaca
53.4%
Draw
24.8%
Paksi SE
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 26.2% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.2% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.86)
    3.82
    (3.52)
    4.28
    (3.78)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 47 - 77%). Paks will win (votes: 12 - 19.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 66.4%87.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • AEK Larnaca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Paksi SE is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • AEK Larnaca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of guest games.
    • In this match AEK Larnaca is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE were as follows:
    25.07.2024 Paksi SE - AEK Larnaca 3:0
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    25.07.2024 Paksi SE - AEK Larnaca 3:0
    17.07.2024 AEK Larnaca - APOEL 0:0
    03.07.2024 PAOK - AEK Larnaca 2:1
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2