Mornar Bar vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
montenegroMontenegroTVCG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
148
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
84
Blocked Shots
41
Corner Kicks
74
Offsides
12
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
12
Attacks
146152
Dangerous Attacks
7581

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Windecker J. (Pen),
  • 18', 1 - 1, Lenzser B. (Own goal),
  • 24', Szabo J. , Kovacs K. ,
  • 44', Lenzser B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mezei S. , Haraszti Z. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Zoric D. ,
  • 60', Vukotic B. , Seratlic E. ,
  • 60', Toth B. , Bode D. ,
  • 73', Kaludjerovic A. 🟨,
  • 77', Cetkovic M. , Kolundzic A. ,
  • 83', Vecsei B. , Balogh B. ,
  • 83', Stevanovic S. , Vukovic N. ,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Balogh B. , Kovacs K. (A),
  • 88', Windecker J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mornar Bar
26.7%
Draw
25.5%
Paksi SE
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 24.5% 48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9% 24.2% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Mornar Bar - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.4)
    3.63
    (3.77)
    1.96
    (1.91)
    7.2%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mornar Bar - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: Paksi SE will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Podgorica City Stadium. 1st leg result: 0-3.
    • Mornar Bar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Paksi SE is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paksi SE could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Paksi SE will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mornar Bar - Paksi SE were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Paksi SE - Mornar Bar 3:0
    Latest results of Mornar Bar
    07.08.2024 Paksi SE - Mornar Bar 3:0
    04.08.2024 Mornar Bar - Otrant 0:1
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    07.08.2024 Paksi SE - Mornar Bar 3:0
    04.08.2024 Paksi SE - Ujpest 2:1
    01.08.2024 AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE 0:2
    28.07.2024 Diósgyőri - Paksi SE 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2