Result
2:2
13/08/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Montenegro | TVCG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 146 | 152 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 75 | 81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Windecker J. (Pen),
- 18', 1 - 1, Lenzser B. (Own goal),
- 24', Szabo J. ↓, Kovacs K. ↑,
- 44', Lenzser B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mezei S. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Zoric D. ⚽,
- 60', Vukotic B. ↓, Seratlic E. ↑,
- 60', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 73', Kaludjerovic A. 🟨,
- 77', Cetkovic M. ↓, Kolundzic A. ↑,
- 83', Vecsei B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 83', Stevanovic S. ↓, Vukovic N. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 2, Balogh B. ⚽, Kovacs K. (A),
- 88', Windecker J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mornar Bar 26.7% | Draw 25.5% | Paksi SE 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Mornar Bar - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.51 ↑ (3.4) |
3.63 ↓ (3.77) |
1.96 ↑ (1.91) |
7.2% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mornar Bar - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Podgorica City Stadium. 1st leg result: 0-3.
- Mornar Bar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Paksi SE is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Paksi SE could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Paksi SE will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Mornar Bar won against Paksi SE?
Mornar Bar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Mornar Bar?
Paksi SE has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mornar Bar - Paksi SE were as follows:
07.08.2024
Paksi SE
-
Mornar Bar
3:0
Latest results of Mornar Bar
Latest results of Paksi SE
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal