Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 26
- Referee: Csonka B. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
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| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 75% (286/381) | 75% (275/369) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.95 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.23 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 40 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (286/381) | 75% (275/369) |
| Long passes |
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| 41% (26/63) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 65% (98/150) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
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| 26% (9/34) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.90 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
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| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 54% (7/13) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
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| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.47 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.53 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Papp K. 🟨,
- 28', Szabo J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Varkonyi B. 🟥,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Hahn J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Guilherme Teixeira ↓, Diogo Antonio ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
- 62', Windecker J. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
- 62', Hahn J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 64', Maxsuell Alegria 🟨,
- 75', Maxsuell Alegria ↓, Daniel Lima ↑,
- 80', Horvath K. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 80', Zeke M. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
- 84', Skribek A. ↓, Alfonso L. ↑,
- 90', Joao Victor ↓, Tchicamboud Q. ↑,
- 90+3', Papp K. ↓, Alaxai A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
48.5% | Draw
25.4% | Zalaegerszegi TE
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Zalaegerszegi TE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zalaegerszegi TE than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.8) |
3.64 ↓
(3.69) |
3.52 ↓
(3.89) |
7.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). ZTE will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - ZTE (3.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ZTE (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 1.
- Paks has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ZTE is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, ZTE has had a series of home games.
- Paks is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:37. (average 2.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:14. (average 2.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Zalaegerszegi TE?
Paksi SE has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zalaegerszegi TE won against Paksi SE?
Zalaegerszegi TE has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE were as follows:
29.11.2025
Zalaegerszegi TE
-
Paksi SE
1:0
17.08.2025
Paksi SE
-
Zalaegerszegi TE
2:2
22.04.2025
Paksi SE
-
Zalaegerszegi TE
2:1
29.03.2025
Zalaegerszegi TE
-
Paksi SE
1:1
24.11.2024
Paksi SE
-
Zalaegerszegi TE
2:2
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Zalaegerszegi TE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 60:30 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Zalaegerszegi | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48:37 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Paks | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55:43 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:40 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | Ujpest | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 47:50 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Kisvarda | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 40 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | -10 | 38 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 52:59 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | DVTK ✔ | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 38:58 | -20 | 28 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika ✔ | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 27:67 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
Clinched Spots for Teams
DVTK is Relegated to NB II.
Kazincbarcika is Relegated to NB II.
