Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 19
- Referee: Karako F. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 12 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
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| 71% (235/331) | 74% (273/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.63 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.32 | 2.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 25 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/331) | 74% (273/368) |
| Long passes |
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| 38% (25/66) | 47% (34/72) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 52% (49/94) | 65% (91/140) |
| Crosses |
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| 56% (9/16) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.91 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
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| 23 | 31 |
| Fouls |
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| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 33% (5/15) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 72 |
| Clearances |
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| 39 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 10 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.87 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Asvanyi D. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Horvath K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', Dardai P. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
- 21', Kovacsik A. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Nagy Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Nagy Z. 🟨,
- 30', Lukacs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Asvanyi D. ↓, Nissila U. ↑,
- 59', Szendrei A. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 77', Fameyeh J. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
- 78', Windecker J. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 81', Soisalo M. ↓, Harutyunyan G. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Osvath A. ⚽,
- 89', Markgraf A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Toth B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
- 90+4', Duarte L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puskás Academy
39.3% | Draw
25.3% | Paksi SE
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Puskás Academy - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.24) |
3.69 ↑
(3.64) |
2.62 ↓
(2.87) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Puskás Academy - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Puskas Academy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paks will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Puskas Academy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paks (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puskas Academy won 2.
- Puskas Academy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paks is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puskas Academy won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:42. (average 2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puskas Academy won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Puskás Academy won against Paksi SE?
Puskás Academy has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Puskás Academy?
Paksi SE has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puskás Academy - Paksi SE were as follows:
27.09.2025
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
3:2
19.04.2025
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
2:2
14.12.2024
Puskás Academy
-
Paksi SE
3:1
01.09.2024
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
2:1
20.04.2024
Puskás Academy
-
Paksi SE
5:0
Latest results of Puskás Academy
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47:24 | 23 | 46 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 44:25 | 19 | 43 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 | Paks | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Zalaegerszegi | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:29 | 6 | 34 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 42:51 | -9 | 25 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | DVTK | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 20:47 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
