Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 8
- Referee: Bogar G. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/423) | 67% (211/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 2.42 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.58 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 46 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/423) | 67% (211/316) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (34/74) | 32% (26/82) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (119/175) | 49% (44/90) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (15/51) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.91 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 27 | 13 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
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| 47% (7/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 65 | 66 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.12 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.12 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lukacs D. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Gyurkits G. ⚽, Zeke M. (A),
- 43', Vas G. ↓, Kinyik A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Hahn J. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Nemeth A. ⚽, Maceiras Q. (A),
- 65', Toth B. 🟨,
- 67', Harutyunyan G. 🟨,
- 72', Papp K. 🟨,
- 72', Horvath K. 🟨,
- 76', Okeke M. ↓, Stronati P. ↑,
- 76', Dardai P. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
- 76', Okeke M. 🟨,
- 76', Szolnoki R. ↓, Favorov A. ↑,
- 81', Nemeth A. 🟨,
- 81', Zeke M. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 81', Horvath K. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 2, Gyurkits G. (Pen),
- 88', Nemeth A. ↓, Nagy Z. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 89', Lukacs D. ↓, Duarte L. ↑,
- 89', Nagy Z. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 2, Windecker J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Toth B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
41.9% | Draw
24.9% | Puskás Academy
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Puskás Academy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Paksi SE - Puskás Academy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.22) |
3.89 ↑
(3.7) |
2.83 ↓
(2.84) |
3.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Puskás Academy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.
- Paks is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Puskas Academy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Puskas Academy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paks could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Puskás Academy?
Paksi SE has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puskás Academy won against Paksi SE?
Puskás Academy has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Puskás Academy were as follows:
19.04.2025
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
2:2
14.12.2024
Puskás Academy
-
Paksi SE
3:1
01.09.2024
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
2:1
20.04.2024
Puskás Academy
-
Paksi SE
5:0
04.02.2024
Paksi SE
-
Puskás Academy
2:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Puskás Academy
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | DVTK | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
