Palencia CA vs Atlético Palencia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Prieto M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Palencia CA
35.6%
Draw
31.3%
Atlético Palencia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 29.1% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 27.3% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palencia CA's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Palencia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palencia CA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Palencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (1.97)
    2.97
    (3.1)
    2.81
    (3.6)
    7.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
    • Palencia CA is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Atlético Palencia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Atlético Palencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Palencia CA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia 1:1
    19.10.2024 Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA 2:2
    05.05.2024 Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA 0:2
    13.01.2024 Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia 0:2
    Latest results of Palencia CA
    Latest results of Atlético Palencia
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tordesillas24166243:133054
    2Guijuelo24156334:171751
    3Palencia CF24154541:231849
    4Santa Marta Tormes24144634:171746
    5Palencia CA24134731:171443
    6Mirandes B24115830:181238
    7Mansilles22106618:20-236
    8La Virgen22105720:18235
    9Almazan23711532:27532
    10Colegios Diocesanos23761023:28-527
    11Leonesa B24751224:30-626
    12Arandina24671119:31-1225
    13Villaralbo23661114:24-1024
    14Bembibre23651221:30-923
    15Numancia B23541415:32-1719
    16CD Mojados23471218:39-2119
    17Becerril24441627:47-2016
    18Unionistas B221111017:30-1314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation