Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 0.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/398) | 80% (252/316) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 0.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.57 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
82% (325/398) | 80% (252/316) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (32/61) | 58% (33/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (90/126) | 63% (65/104) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (7/30) | 38% (6/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.85 | 0.90 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 1.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.31 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Vargas J. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
- 16', Fuentes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Abrigo J. ⚽,
- 63', Leon J. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Carrasco B. ⚽, Benitez J. (A),
- 70', Benitez J. 🟥,
- 71', Chamorro F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 71', Villarroel M. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 72', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 74', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 75', Arias J. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 75', Abrigo J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Moreira E. (A),
- 84', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 84', Carrasco B. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palestino 54.8% | Draw 25% | Deportes La Serena 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palestino - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.45) |
3.72 ↓ (4.14) |
4.67 ↓ (7.13) |
6.9% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes La Serena?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Deportes La Serena?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Palestino?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
23.10.2022
Palestino
-
Deportes La Serena
5:0
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso