Palestino vs Deportes La Serena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chilean Primera Division Palestino - Deportes La Serena
Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga de Primera - Round 14
Palestino - Deportes La Serena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (325/398)80% (252/316)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.69
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
82% (325/398)80% (252/316)
Long passes
52% (32/61)58% (33/57)
Passes in final third
71% (90/126)63% (65/104)
Crosses
23% (7/30)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.850.90
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1315
Tackles
67% (10/15)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2541
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.691.57
Goals prevented
-0.31-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Vargas J. , Ovando L. ,
  • 16', Fuentes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 56', Zanini A. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Abrigo J. ,
  • 63', Leon J. , Garguez Gomez I. A. ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Carrasco B. , Benitez J. (A),
  • 70', Benitez J. 🟥,
  • 71', Chamorro F. , Ortiz J. ,
  • 71', Villarroel M. , Pinto M. ,
  • 72', Dinamarca F. , Gutierrez C. ,
  • 74', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 75', Arias J. , Marabel J. ,
  • 75', Abrigo J. , Salgado D. ,
  • 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Moreira E. (A),
  • 84', Martinez Arce A. E. , Ceza Gavilan A. A. ,
  • 84', Carrasco B. , Tapia Paez G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Palestino
54.8%
Draw
25%
Deportes La Serena
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 22.6% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 21.8% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.
  • Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Palestino - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.45)
    3.72
    (4.14)
    4.67
    (7.13)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes La Serena?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    23.10.2022 Palestino - Deportes La Serena 5:0
    Latest results of Palestino
    Chilean Primera Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo1595119:71232
    2A. Italiano15102328:181032
    3Palestino1584322:14828
    4O'Higgins1575315:15026
    5U. De Chile1381429:131625
    6Cobresal1565419:18123
    7U. Catolica1464420:14622
    8Union La Calera1564515:11422
    9Colo Colo1363423:131021
    10Huachipato1553720:23-318
    11La Serena1552819:27-817
    12Nublense1537514:22-816
    13Everton1535715:25-1014
    14Limache1534817:23-613
    15U. Espanola14211112:27-157
    16Deportes Iquique15131115:32-176

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso

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