Result
2:1
14/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/398) | 80% (252/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/398) | 80% (252/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/61) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (90/126) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Vargas J. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
- 16', Fuentes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Abrigo J. ⚽,
- 63', Leon J. ↓, Garguez Gomez I. A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Carrasco B. ⚽, Benitez J. (A),
- 70', Benitez J. 🟥,
- 71', Chamorro F. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 71', Villarroel M. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 72', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 74', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 75', Arias J. ↓, Marabel J. ↑,
- 75', Abrigo J. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 79', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Moreira E. (A),
- 84', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
- 84', Carrasco B. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palestino
54.8% | Draw
25% | Deportes La Serena
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palestino - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.45) |
3.72 ↓
(4.14) |
4.67 ↓
(7.13) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes La Serena?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Deportes La Serena?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Palestino?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
23.10.2022
Palestino
-
Deportes La Serena
5:0
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 38:12 | 26 | 62 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
