Result
1:1
14/05/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 109 | 91 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 45 | 32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Carvajal J. ⚽, Alfonzo D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Carrasco B. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
- 56', Chamorro F. ↓, Abrigo J. ↑,
- 61', Marabel J. 🟨,
- 62', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 64', Giraldo D. 🟨,
- 76', Rodriguez E. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
- 76', Benitez J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
- 76', Cornejo F. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
- 83', Ruiz D. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 83', Rojas B. ↓, Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↑,
- 87', Carvajal J. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 87', Silva D. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 88', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Fuentes M. (A),
- 90+4', Suarez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millonarios
57.6% | Draw
25.5% | Palestino
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3%)
Millonarios - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.5) |
3.72 ↓
(3.8) |
5.62 ↓
(6.5) |
5.7%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Palestino?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent matches Millonarios is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Palestino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Palestino have a series of home games.
- In this match Millonarios is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Palestino?
Millonarios has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Millonarios?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Palestino were as follows:
25.04.2024
Palestino
-
Millonarios
3:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Palestino
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
